NBA Finals Game 3 Parlay: Our Best Props in Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks

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Written by Dave Garofolo
NBA Finals Game 3 Parlay: Our Best Props in Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks

The NBA Finals roll on. The Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics now head to Dallas for a pair of games starting on June 12, 2024 as both teams look to be crowned champs and hoist the Larry O'Brien Trophy.

Dallas is in a 2-0 hole but find themselves favored as they hope to salvage a game on their homecourt.

Meanwhile, we're locking in a +575 parlay for this pivotal NBA Finals game.

We're making this SGP because DraftKings is continuing their daily No-Sweat Same Game parlay token for every day of the NBA Playoffs, meaning if we lose, we get our bet back as a bonus! You might have a no-sweat token available on FanDuel as well, but we're getting the best odds at DraftKings.

Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we have identified three player props worth betting on in Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 3.

By using both our player prop bets and top trends sourced from our predictive analytics model, we've made this three-leg NBA Parlay that clocks in at +575 odds. 


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NBA Finals Game 3 Prop Bets Parlay Tonight - June 12, 2024

As mentioned, we are looking at the Game 3 matchup of the NBA Finals featuring the Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks with a parlay that clocks in at +575.

You can find numerous props with an edgeas well as prop projections for 20 players with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on this parlay, you're sure to find a value play that's right for you.


Leg 1: Luka Doncic Over 32.5 Points (-115)

Where better to start than with the most entertaining player in this series. Luka Doncic has been the figurehead of this Mavs team all year and that's not changed in the Finals, putting up 30 and 32 in his first two games while not getting a whole lot from his supporting cast.

Until the hook in Game 2, Luka alternated going over/under this prop since the start of the Western Conference Semifinals. We project him for 33.4 points in this must-win Game 3 for the Mavs. If there's a game this series in which he's going to absolutely go off, it'll be with everything on the line as they must salvage a game here.

Full Game Projections: Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Betting Preview

Leg 2: Derrick White Over 4.5 Assists (+124)

Next up is Celtics' everyman, Derrick White. He does it all for this team as a key piece of the starting five - defense, offense, hustle plays - you name it. He's cleared this number in 7 of his last 11 games, dating back to the start of the series with the Cavaliers.

Averaging 6.4 potential assists per game in these playoffs, we're projecting him for 5.9 dimes tonight, with a 57.8% probability of going over, making this our best value standalone prop of the night at  a 13.2% edge.

Leg 3: Al Horford Under 7.5 Rebounds (-130)

We'll close out with a fade on the veteran big man as we look for him to go under his rebounds mark of 7.5. He's gone under in both games of this series with 7 apiece, and under in 10 of 16 postseason games. 

Horford gets a 62.8% probability of going under, and by a good bit, with our model projecting him for just 5.2 tonight. There's not as much value on this prop compared to Derrick White, but you can still get an edge of 7.2% if you play it on its own at DraftKings. 

+575 NBA Finals Parlay Tonight: June 12, 2024

Having simulated the Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the three best player props to use in a prop bets parlay, and don't forget to apply your "No-Sweat" Token to your betslip!

Player (Team)
Prop Bet
Projection
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)
Over 32.5 Points
33.4PTS
Derrick White (Celtics)Over 4.5 Assists
5.9 AST
Al Horford (Celtics)
Under 7.5 Rebounds
5.2 REB

 

 

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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