NBA Today: Predictions, Betting Analysis and Player Prop Projections

Tonight's NBA games feature intriguing matchups with varying levels of competitiveness, as indicated by Dimers' NBA predictions, point spreads, player props, and trends. This article will analyze each game, incorporating the above factors, as well as first basket probabilities to provide an insightful look at tonight's NBA schedule.

NBA CUP: As revealed by Dimers, this year's NBA Cup will have a slightly different look to the inaugural in-season event, with more group stage games this Friday, November 15.

NBA Predictions & Analysis

Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic

The Indiana Pacers enter tonight’s matchup against the Orlando Magic with a slight edge, carrying a 55% probability to win and a -1.5 spread advantage. While the Pacers are favored, the game is expected to be competitive.

One key trend to watch is Orlando's Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who has scored fewer than 9.5 points in 18 of his last 24 games, hinting at potential underperformance.

Meanwhile, Franz Wagner of the Magic stands out in prop predictions, holding a 16.71% probability of scoring the first basket - the highest in this contest. 

• Probabilities and Spread: The Pacers enter with a 55% probability to win, holding a -1.5 spread advantage over the Magic, who have a 45% probability.
• Notable Trend: Orlando's Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has scored fewer than 9.5 points in 18 of his last 24 games, supporting a projection for underperformance tonight.
• First Basket Probability: Franz Wagner has a 16.71% chance to score the first basket, the highest among players in this matchup.

Overall, fans can expect a tightly contested game, with the Pacers positioned as the slight favorites.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter tonight’s game as heavy favorites against the New Orleans Pelicans, holding an 86% win probability and a substantial -14.5 spread advantage. 

This sets the stage for a likely Thunder victory, especially if New Orleans' Trey Murphy III continues his recent trend of lower scoring, having scored fewer than 13.5 points in 6 of his last 10 games.

On the boards, Yves Missi of OKC is projected to dominate with an anticipated 7.6 rebounds and a 56.3% probability to hit that mark. Brandon Ingram, however, stands as the top candidate to score the first basket, with a 16.59% probability. 

• Probabilities and Spread: Thunder hold a commanding 86% win probability and a significant -14.5 spread over the Pelicans.
• Notable Trend: Trey Murphy III of the Pelicans has scored fewer than 13.5 points in 6 of his last 10 games, indicating a trend towards lower scoring.
• Prop Prediction: Yves Missi’s projected rebound total of 7.6 rebounds (56.3% probability) suggests he could dominate the glass.
• First Basket Probability: Brandon Ingram has a 16.59% probability to score the first basket, leading both teams.

All factors point toward a commanding Thunder performance, with a good chance of covering the spread if the Pelicans struggle offensively.

Chicago Bulls vs. New York Knicks

The New York Knicks head into tonight’s game against the Bulls as strong favorites, holding a 72% probability to win and an -8.0 spread over their opponent. Chicago's Ayo Dosunmu has shown consistent playmaking, exceeding 3.5 assists in 8 of his last 10 games, which supports an over projection on his assist line.

Meanwhile, the Knicks' Karl-Anthony Towns is expected to stay under 11.5 rebounds, with a 66.6% probability to fall short of that total.

Nikola Vucevic stands out in first basket odds, leading with a 13.38% probability. These factors reinforce the Knicks’ favorable position, making them likely to cover the spread tonight.

• Probabilities and Spread: Knicks are favored with a 72% probability and an -8.0 spread.
• Notable Trend: Ayo Dosunmu has exceeded 3.5 assists in 8 of his last 10 games, supporting an over projection on his assist line.
• Prop Prediction: Karl-Anthony Towns is projected to rebound under 11.5 total boards with a 66.6% probability.
• First Basket Probability: Nikola Vucevic leads the first basket probability at 13.38%.

These factors reinforce the Knicks’ favorable position, making them likely to cover the spread tonight.

Boston Celtics vs. Brooklyn Nets

The Boston Celtics come into tonight’s matchup with the Nets as strong favorites, with a 75% win probability and an -8.0 spread, setting the stage for a likely victory.

Brooklyn’s Nic Claxton has shown a solid trend in playmaking, recording over 2.5 assists in 9 of his last 14 games, while Boston’s Derrick White is projected to exceed 4.5 assists with a 55.4% probability, bolstering Boston's expected control of the game.

Jayson Tatum holds the highest chance to score the first basket, at 12.39%.

• Probabilities and Spread: Celtics are the favored team with a 75% probability and an -8.0 spread.
• Notable Trend: Nic Claxton has consistently recorded more than 2.5 assists in 9 of his last 14 games.
• Prop Prediction: Derrick White’s assists are projected to go over 4.5, with a 55.4% probability.
• First Basket Probability: Jayson Tatum holds the highest first basket probability at 12.39%.

These factors suggest a comfortable game for the Celtics, who are positioned to cover the spread if they meet expectations.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Philadelphia 76ers

The Cleveland Cavaliers enter tonight’s game with the 76ers as heavy favorites with a 77% win probability and a -9.0 spread, indicating strong odds of a dominant performance against the Philadelphia 76ers.

Darius Garland has been highly productive in recent games, averaging over 5.5 assists, which suggests a playmaking role that could bolster the Cavs’ offensive flow. Meanwhile, Evan Mobley is projected to stay under 10.5 rebounds, aligning with a lower rebounding expectation for him tonight.

Garland and Donovan Mitchell also lead in first basket probabilities at 12.89% and 12.85%, respectively.

• Probabilities and Spread: Cavaliers are strong favorites with a 77% probability and a -9.0 spread.
• Notable Trend: Darius Garland has averaged over 5.5 assists in recent games, indicating a probable assist-focused role.
• Prop Prediction: Evan Mobley’s rebound total is projected under 10.5, aligning with a lower rebounding expectation.
• First Basket Probability: Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell lead the first basket probabilities for the Cavaliers at 12.89% and 12.85%, respectively.

With these favorable metrics, Cleveland appears well-positioned to cover the spread and control the game.

Washington Wizards vs. San Antonio Spurs

The San Antonio Spurs head into tonight's game with the Wizards as solid favorites, holding a 77% probability to win and a -9.5 spread, suggesting a likely commanding performance.

Chris Paul has been in strong form, recording over 8.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games, supporting an over projection on his assist line.

Meanwhile, Victor Wembanyama is expected to contribute over 3.5 assists with a 63.6% probability and leads in first basket odds at 15.4%..

• Probabilities and Spread: The Spurs are favored with a 77% probability and a -9.5 spread.
• Notable Trend: Chris Paul has recorded more than 8.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games, reinforcing an over projection.
• Prop Prediction: Victor Wembanyama’s assists are expected to exceed 3.5 with a 63.6% probability.
• First Basket Probability: Victor Wembanyama has a 15.4% chance to score the first basket, leading this matchup.

Given these insights, the Spurs are well-positioned to cover the spread and maintain control throughout the game

LA Clippers vs. Houston Rockets

The Houston Rockets enter tonight's matchup against the Clippers with a 68% probability of winning and a -4.5 spread, positioning them as the favorites in a game they are expected to control.

Derrick Jones Jr. has shown strong scoring consistency, surpassing 8.5 points in 8 of his last 10 games, while, for the Clippers, James Harden is projected to stay under 21.5 points with a 58.9% probability, reflecting a potential scoring dip.

Norman Powell leads in first basket probability at 15.75%, adding early excitement. 

• Probabilities and Spread: The Rockets have a 68% probability to win, with a -4.5 spread.
• Notable Trend: Derrick Jones Jr. has consistently exceeded 8.5 points in 8 of his last 10 games.
• Prop Prediction: James Harden is expected to score under 21.5 points with a 58.9% probability.
• First Basket Probability: Norman Powell leads first basket probability at 15.75%.

Overall, the Rockets' probability advantage and Harden’s scoring trend suggest they are well-placed to cover the spread.

Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks come into tonight’s game against the Pistons as the favorites, holding a 69% win probability and a -6.0 spread, setting up an anticipated victory.

Giannis Antetokounmpo’s recent rebounding dominance, having exceeded 11.5 boards in 12 of his last 18 games, is expected to play a crucial role in the Bucks' performance.

Cade Cunningham, however, has the highest first basket probability at 13.06%, underscoring his offensive initiation for the opposing team.

• Probabilities and Spread: Bucks are favored with a 69% probability and a -6.0 spread.
• Notable Trend: Giannis Antetokounmpo is projected to exceed 11.5 rebounds, as seen in 12 of his last 18 games.
• Prop Prediction: Cade Cunningham has the highest first basket probability for this matchup at 13.06%.
• First Basket Probability: Cade Cunningham’s 13.06% first basket probability highlights his role in starting the offense.

With Giannis’ presence on the boards and the Bucks’ advantage, Milwaukee is well-positioned to cover the spread and secure a win.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Portland Trail Blazers

The Minnesota Timberwolves enter tonight’s game as strong favorites against the Trail Blazers, holding a 77% probability to win and a -10.0 spread over the Portland Trail Blazers.

Jerami Grant’s recent trend of recording fewer than 2.5 assists in 9 of his last 11 games suggests a lower playmaking role, while Naz Reid is projected to score over 11.5 points, which could support Minnesota's overall control of the game.

Anthony Edwards leads in first basket probability at 15.71%, adding early scoring potential for the Timberwolves.

• Probabilities and Spread: Timberwolves lead with a 77% probability and a -10.0 spread.
• Notable Trend: Jerami Grant has recorded fewer than 2.5 assists in 9 of his last 11 appearances, aligning with a lower playmaking role.
• Prop Prediction: Naz Reid Over 11.5 points scored, enhancing Minnesota's control over the game.
• First Basket Probability: Anthony Edwards leads first basket probability with 15.71%.

With these factors aligning, Minnesota is well-positioned to cover the spread and secure a commanding win.

Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings

The Sacramento Kings head into tonight’s game against the Suns as solid favorites, boasting a 72% probability to win and a -7.5 spread.

Keegan Murray’s recent scoring trend shows he’s fallen below 14.5 points in 8 of his last 10 games, hinting at a continued scoring dip. On the other side, Bradley Beal is projected to exceed 3.5 assists with a 61.9% probability, adding to his playmaking role.

Devin Booker leads in first basket probability at 13.24%, setting the tone for early offense.

• Probabilities and Spread: Kings are favored with a 72% probability and a -7.5 spread.
• Notable Trend: Keegan Murray’s scoring has fallen below 14.5 points in 8 of his last 10 games.
• Prop Prediction: Bradley Beal’s assists are projected to exceed 3.5 with a 61.9% probability.
• First Basket Probability: Devin Booker leads the first basket probabilities at 13.24%.

With the Kings’ probability edge and Beal’s assist projections, Sacramento is positioned to cover the spread and secure the win.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers

The Los Angeles Lakers enter tonight's matchup as strong favorites with a 73% probability to win and a -6.5 spread against the Memphis Grizzlies.

Scotty Pippen Jr. has shown consistency on the boards, regularly recording over 3.5 rebounds, which could contribute to a solid performance. Additionally, Anthony Davis is projected to exceed 2.5 assists with a 59.8% probability and leads the first basket probability at 15.59%, positioning him as a key player to start the scoring.

• Probabilities and Spread: Lakers are favored with a 73% probability and a -6.5 spread.
• Notable Trend: Scotty Pippen Jr. has recorded over 3.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games, adding to an expected strong performance.
• Prop Prediction: Anthony Davis’ over 2.5 assists is projected with a 59.8% probability.
• First Basket Probability: Anthony Davis leads the first basket probability for this matchup at 15.59%.

With these analytics and the Lakers’ overall advantage, Los Angeles is well-poised to cover the spread and secure a win.

NBA Predictions [Nov 13]

Tonight's NBA games feature a variety of betting edges, from high-probability team wins to targeted player prop bets. Notable matchups like the Thunder and Pelicans showcase a dominant favorite, while closely contested games like Pacers vs. Magic highlight betting on narrow spreads.

Prop trends provide further insights, with players like Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bradley Beal projected to perform well in their respective roles. Overall, tonight’s games offer numerous opportunities for betting, with spread and prop selections guided by recent performance trends and statistical projections.