NBA Betting: Three Team Total Overs You Need To Take For The 2022-23 Season

The NBA season is pretty much here and that means it's time to get your regular season win total bets in. With the season-opening doubleheader that features the Philadelphia 76ers taking on the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors hosting the Los Angeles Lakers being on Tuesday, October 18, you're running out of time to get these picks in. With that said, check out the teams we think will outperform expectations this year.

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NBA Betting: Three Team Total Overs You Need To Take For The 2022-23 Season

Phoenix Suns - Over 52.5 Wins (+100) 

The Suns flamed out in an embarrassing way last season, losing by 33 points against the Dallas Mavericks in a home Game 7 in the Western Conference Semifinals. That disappointing postseason exit followed up a year in which the Suns won a league-high 64 games and had the best average point differential in basketball, So, while Phoenix is a punchline amongst basketball fans right now, it would take a pretty big collapse for this team not to win at least 53 games this year. 

The Deandre Ayton contract situation is one of the other reasons people are down on the Suns, but the reality is that the big man was paid a lot of money to stay where he ultimately wanted to be in the long run. That awkward situation will work itself out over time, and it already appears to be getting a lot better. Look for the Suns to utilize him a bit more in an effort to take some pressure off of an aging Chris Paul this year. The same goes for both Mikal Bridges and Cam Johnson, who have been working on their on-ball chops to give Phoenix more ways to beat opponents offensively. 

The Suns also did a pretty nice job of adding cheap talent to the bench this offseason, with center Jock Landale looking like a very nice replacement for JaVale McGee as a backup center. He's a guy that works hard on the glass and can step out and hit threes. Phoenix also has Dario Saric back in the mix. He's a versatile big that can serve as a key cog on offense in short spurts. And Duane Washington Jr. looks like a guy that can play some minutes as a backup point guard if Cam Payne's struggles from last year carry over. 

All in all, we'd just be surprised if the wheels completely came off and gave NBA Twitter the punchline it's craving. 

New York Knicks - Over 38.5 Wins (-130) 

Last season, the Knicks won 37 games after a year in which they won 41 and earned the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference. It was a bit of a step back for the organization, but New York was able to sign Jalen Brunson in the summer. Brunson is probably a bit overpaid at the moment, but the Knicks haven't had a solid point guard in a very long time.

Brunson is a really good scorer at his size and that will take a lot of pressure off his teammates to create. Guys like RJ Barrett and Julius Randle were being asked to do too much with the ball in their hands last year, so they should bounce back now that they're in more comfortable roles. Randle has looked pretty good during the preseason, which is nice after a year in which he really struggled to replicate his All-Star 2020-21 season. 

The Knicks also made a really underrated signing in free agency, bringing in Isaiah Hartenstein as a backup center. He's a player that has all the tools to be a good starting center in this league, so the fact that he'll be backing up Mitchell Robinson is a luxury.

It's just hard to see how New York will fail to win 39 games this season, and our DimersBOT has the team projected for 39.1. If players like Quentin Grimes, Obi Toppin and Cam Reddish improve a little bit, it wouldn't be shocking if the Knicks win 42 or so games. Tom Thibodeau just needs to be a little less stubborn, as he hasn't played his young guys enough in recent seasons. 

Indiana Pacers - Over 22.5 Wins (-125) 

The Pacers should absolutely be one of the teams attempting to bottom out for Victor Wembanyama or Scoot Henderson, but this is a team that has historically tried to be as competitive as possible. And while Indiana's roster is nowhere near where it needs to be in order to compete for a Play-In spot in a tough Eastern Conference, the Pacers will be a team that makes things difficult on opponents every night. 

There is still a decent amount of talent in place in Indiana, where Tyrese Haliburton is running the show now. He'll be surrounded by a lot of guys that can really shoot the basketball, with Buddy Hield, Chris Duarte and rookie Bennedict Mathurin all being legitimate snipers. With those guys and a good three-and-D center in Myles Turner around Haliburton, you just can't expect this group to be as bad as teams like the Utah Jazz or San Antonio Spurs — especially given head coach Rick Carlisle's ability to create winning combinations out of unlikely groups of players throughout his career. 

Our predictive analytics model has the Pacers winning an average of 25.9 games per year in 10,000 simulations of the upcoming season, so we love the value on Indiana nabbing at least 23 victories.