NBA Best Bets Today [Thursday 1/4/2024]

NBA betting is back for another great slate, and we're here to serve up our top picks for Thursday's basketball action. After running thousands of data-driven simulations of both of today's games, we have diligently determined the top four best NBA bets for Thursday January 4, 2024.

Today's NBA picks come from a range of matchups, led by multiple bets from the Bucks vs. Spurs game, with our advanced predictive analytics model working its magic to dig out edges across all sorts of bet types.

With a lot of basketball action to digest and analyze today, we have your back. Our NBA picks and predictions are here to make your Thursday easier than ever, with our carefully curated NBA best bets today listed below in order of the juiciest edge.

Our team used a powerful predictive analytics model to find these NBA best bets, meaning that our featured plays represent the best NBA bets to make on Thursday.

Unleash the excitement with this incredible opportunity! Unlock a generous reward of $150 in bonus bets by winning a $5 moneyline wager on one of today's NBA matchups at FanDuel Sportsbook. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!

All of our recommended bets for Thursday's NBA games are sourced straight from Dimers' NBA Best Bets page, where you can sort by different bet types and matchups. It's your own secret weapon!

Best NBA Bets Tonight - 1/4/2024

After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA action, DimersBOT, our leading predictive analytics model, has precisely found the best basketball bets for you to place on Thursday January 4, 2024.

Bucks vs. Spurs Under 247.5 Points (-108)

• Odds: -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Spurs (7:30PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet tonight, focusing on the matchup between the Bucks and Spurs. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 247.5 Points, currently offered at -108 odds by FanDuel Sportsbook. We have found a significant edge of 5.4% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA best bet for Thursday.

MORE: NBA Best Bets Today

Spurs +9 (-108)

• Odds: -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Spurs (7:30PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet for Thursday's basketball action, again in the game featuring the Bucks and Spurs. We recommend considering a spread wager on Spurs +9, available at -108 odds through DraftKings Sportsbook. We have detected a compelling edge of 3.2% for this particular bet.

Nuggets ML (-162)

• Odds: -162 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

Another top pick for tonight's basketball action comes from the matchup between the Nuggets and Warriors. The play here is a moneyline bet, with Nuggets ML at enticing odds of -162 through DraftKings Sportsbook. Our model has detected an advantageous edge of 2.1% for this particular wager.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Under 235.5 Points (-108)

• Odds: -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our next edge for today's action stems from the game between the Nuggets and Warriors. The bet here is an over/under wager on Under 235.5 Points, currently available at enticing -108 odds through FanDuel Sportsbook. Our model has detected a noteworthy 2.1% edge for this particular bet.

NBA Best Bets - Thursday 1/4/2024

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge
Bucks vs. Spurs	Under 247.5 Points	-108 @ FanDuel	5.4%
Bucks vs. Spurs	Spurs +9	-108 @ DraftKings	3.2%
Nuggets vs. Warriors	Nuggets ML	-162 @ DraftKings	2.1%
Nuggets vs. Warriors	Under 235.5 Points	-108 @ FanDuel	2.1%

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Tonight's NBA Games to Bet On - 1/4/2024

• Bucks vs. Spurs (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Nuggets vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?

An edge occurs when Dimers' model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our NBA model believes a bet has a higher chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although an edge does not guarantee a win, taking Dimers' plays with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Make Smarter NBA Betting Decisions Today - 1/4/2024

At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing daily NBA betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our daily betting picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

This NBA best bets article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Thursday's NBA action, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.