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Canadiens vs. Capitals Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win Wednesday's NHL Matchup [4/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals matchup.
NHL action continues on Wednesday at 7:00PM ET as the Montreal Canadiens take on the Washington Capitals in the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Capital One Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Montreal-Washington game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Capitals' chance of winning at 60%, with the Canadiens at 40%."
For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Canadiens vs. Capitals predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Canadiens and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Capitals a 60% chance of defeating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:15PM, Apr 23
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Canadiens vs. Capitals Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+142) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -178 |
| Total | o6 (+100) | u6 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Canadiens vs. Capitals Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Canadiens vs. Capitals matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Canadiens-Capitals Pick Get Dimers Pro Canadiens vs. Capitals Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Capitals?
According to our model, Washington's Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Capitals.
Our projections give Ovechkin an 8.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Capitals star is a 39.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | 7.3% |
| Cole Caufield | 4.9% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 4.5% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 8.3% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.8% |
| Tom Wilson | 5.3% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | 34.0% |
| Cole Caufield | 25.7% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 25.3% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 39.6% |
| Dylan Strome | 29.7% |
| Tom Wilson | 28.7% |
Habs vs. Caps Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's matchup between the Capitals and Canadiens in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the NHL to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Canadiens and Capitals, reached the NHL Playoffs 2025, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Canadiens vs. Capitals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Montreal vs. Washington picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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