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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [4/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will face the Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Montreal-Toronto game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Maple Leafs are more likely to win, while the Canadiens have a lower chance of victory."
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Canadiens and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 63% chance of beating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-130) | -1.5 (+115) |
| Moneyline | +185 | -225 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Canadiens-Maple Leafs Pick Get Dimers Pro Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 10.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 48.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | 6.5% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 4.9% |
| Cole Caufield | 4.7% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 10.6% |
| John Tavares | 6.7% |
| William Nylander | 6.5% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | 34.2% |
| Cole Caufield | 27.3% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 26.9% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 48.1% |
| John Tavares | 33.9% |
| William Nylander | 33.9% |
Habs vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's game between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Montreal vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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