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Read Article Monterrey vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [4/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Monterrey vs Guadalajara matchup.
Monterrey and Guadalajara are scheduled to meet in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio BBVA on Saturday, starting at 9:05PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Monterrey as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Monterrey-Guadalajara game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.
"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Monterrey a 48.9% chance of winning, Guadalajara a 26.0% chance, and a 25.1% chance of a draw."
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Monterrey vs. Guadalajara predictions page.
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Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Monterrey and Guadalajara 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 48.9% chance of Monterrey winning, a 26.0% chance for Guadalajara, and a 25.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 3:08PM, Apr 5
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Monterrey vs. Guadalajara Odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Monterrey | Guadalajara | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +100 | +310 | +245 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -115 | -118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Monterrey vs. Guadalajara Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Monterrey vs. Guadalajara matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Monterrey-Guadalajara Pick Get Dimers Pro Monterrey vs. Guadalajara: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MNT 1-1 GUA | 11.9% |
| MNT 1-0 GUA | 11% |
| MNT 2-1 GUA | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.6% chance that both teams scoring, and a 47.4% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Monterrey vs. Guadalajara Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between Monterrey and Guadalajara at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to start at 9:05PM ET.
- Who: Monterrey vs. Guadalajara
- Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
- Time: 9:05PM ET/6:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Monterrey vs. Guadalajara matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Guadalajara vs. Monterrey picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 48.9% win probability on Saturday, Guadalajara has a 26.0% win probability, and there is a 25.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Monterrey vs. Guadalajara insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Liga MX
Stay up-to-date with the latest Liga MX betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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