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Mojo Fantasy Optimal Lineup - Broncos vs. Chiefs on Thursday Night Football
If you love fantasy sports and are familiar with wagering on NFL prop bets, or if you have an affinity for the trading game, whether it be stocks, collectibles or anything else, then you’re going to want to check out Mojo’s all-new fantasy offering!
Dimers, home of the best NFL picks, is here to guide you through Sunday with our optimal Mojo lineup.
MORE: Best NFL Bets Today
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Mojo Fantasy exists at a unique intersection of sports betting sites and daily fantasy. Its dynamic live market with moving probability-based odds is a truly unique experience. You build a portfolio of at least four of your best player props from two teams or more. Unlike any other Daily Fantasy App, each player prop can be tracked and traded in real-time as the live odds change based on the game's momentum.
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Follow these steps if you haven’t already signed up at Mojo Fantasy. If you have an account, jump to our lineup insights below!
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Today’s Optimal Mojo Fantasy Lineup – Thursday, October 12
We’re looking at Mojo’s free-to-play NFL Thursday Thriller, which means you can play this contest with no entry fee but still earn part of the $200 prize pool!
For this lineup, we’re going to play Mojo’s In the Green game type. A super common format on DFS platforms, contestants who play In the Green have the objective of finishing as high as possible in the contest. The higher your portfolio finishes, the bigger your payout. It’s that simple.
NFL Thursday Contest | Buy-in: FREE | Prize Pool: $200
Starting Portfolio value: $500
Stock 1 – Patrick Mahomes Under 274.5 Passing Yards
It's uncommon that we'll ever fade the best quarterback in football, but Patrick Mahomes simply may not have to do much against this Broncos' defense allowing nearly 200 rushing yards per game and an offense that's struggled against even poor teams.
Mojo has set the price for Mahomes' under at $0.56, and our model is projecting him for 267 yards on the night. Combine that with our model favoring the under on both his passing completions and attempts and this looks like a solid play.
Investment: $100 to return $178.79
MORE: Get the best parlay bets today
Stock 2 – Javonte Williams Over 37.5 Rushing Yards
Javonte Williams has been banged up over the past couple of weeks but he's a full-go for Thursday Night Football and we like the value on him tonight. Kansas City's defense is allowing 97.2 rushing yards per game but we don't even need that half of that number
Mojo has Williams' over set at $0.49 while our model projects him to clear this mark with at least 46 yards and a 57.3% probability to clear his line, giving us 8.3% of value.
Investment: $100 to return $204.58
Stock 3 – Jerry Jeudy Over 57.5 Receiving Yards
To keep things simple, the Broncos will almost assuredly be trailing most of this game and will need to play catch up. Jeudy's best game came against the Dolphins when Denver was trailing, a lot.
Our model gives Jeudy a projection of 60 receiving yards, while Mojo has priced him at $0.45 to go over giving us a slim edge. We're also projecting him with a 51.6% probability to go over his 4.5 receptions prop, meaning the volume is expected to be there.
Investment: $100 to return $224.62
MORE: Super Bowl Odds
Stock 4 – Javonte Williams Anytime TD
This might be the only Anytime TD prop with value according to our model, but it's significant. We'll likely need to see Williams break a decent run to cash this one as the Broncos may turn to Samaje Perine at the goal line to preserve Williams' health.
Mojo has priced Williams at $0.32 to score tonight, but we've identified him with a sizable 41.2% probability to do so, meaning a 9.2% edge in value. If this prop hits, we'll be looking pretty good for landing in the green.
Investment: $100 to return $316.26
Stock 5 – Isiah Pacheco First TD
Let's end with another touchdown, this time for the first of the game. Isiah Pacheco is up against a Broncos' defense allowing over 180 rushing yards per game and an opponent red zone success rate of 61.9%, fourth-worst in the league.
Mojo set this price for a Pacheco touchdown at $0.14 and our model projects him with a 10.5% chance of doing so. Although we're not getting any extra value in his price, what we do notice is that Travis Kelce is Mojo's highest price for a First TD at $0.20, while Pacheco should be the favorite according to our model.
Investment: $100 to return $700.28
Total Investment: $500
Potential Portfolio Return: $1,624.53
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