MLS Betting: Why Inter Miami Is Not the Best Bet to Win the MLS Cup

Inter Miami and Lionel Messi are the clear favorite to win it all this MLS season, but that’s not where you should be betting, according to the latest simulations by our powerful AI model.

While Lionel Messi and Inter Miami get all the attention, there’s another team that boasts recent success that’s being ignored in the futures market.

As the MLS season progresses and we’re in the midst of the Leagues Cup, the defending champion Columbus Crew have emerged as a compelling value bet to win the 2024 MLS Cup. Despite a shaky start, where they only managed three victories in their first eleven matches, the Crew have found their stride. Since then, they have secured 10 wins in their last 13 contests, with their only losses being narrow 2-1 defeats, including one to the favorite to win it all, Inter Miami.

Currently third in the Eastern Conference with 43 points from 22 matches, Columbus now boasts an impressive goal differential of +25, a testament to their potent attack and solid defense. Their recent form before the Leagues Cup included a five-game winning streak with a staggering +18 goal differential, underscoring their dominance on the field.

Why You Need to Bet on the Columbus Crew

Sure, all those stats sounds good, but that’s not the main reason we’re recommending this bet.

After running thousands of updated simulations on the MLS season, our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has revealed a 14.5% probability of the Crew lifting the MLS Cup for back-to-back seasons. That’s even higher than it was last week, when it was 12.5% and the Crew were at +1200.

That translates to fair odds of just +590, however that’s far off the books’ best price. They’re just 2.4% behind LAFC (+450) for second-best chance according to our model, but the books have the Crew with the fifth-shortest odds.

With odds of +1500 at FanDuel Sportsbook, betting on the Columbus Crew presents a fantastic opportunity for value, given their current form and potential to continue this upward trajectory. Their resurgence and momentum make them a dark horse with a strong chance of lifting the MLS Cup once again come season’s end.

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