MLB Wednesday Home Run Props Parlay - May 3, 2023

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Wednesday, May 3. Tonight's parlay features players from the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays and Mariners vs. Athletics games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Wednesday's MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

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MLB +3350 Home Run Parlay For Wednesday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr 1+ HR	+360
Jarred Kelenic 1+ HR	+650

Wednesday MLB Parlay Analysis

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays, 7:10PM EST

LEG 1: Vladimir Guerrero Jr 1+ HR (+360) with DraftKings

That's right, we're going back to the well with Vladito even though he let us down last night. Not for lack of trying though, as he picked up two hits with good contact as we expected, just not enough underneath to leave the yard. We're sticking with our guy, however, because he is absolutely due for a home run, and our model gives him a 27.8% probability tonight.

One of the most powerful bats in the league gets a highly favorable matchup with Red Sox righthander Nick Pivetta (5.11 ERA) whose Statcast shows nothing but home run potential. His high exit velocity, HardHit % and Barrel % (perfect combo of launch angle and velocity) are all in the bottom tier of MLB. Let's go get a Vladdy bomb.

⚾️ Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

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Mariners vs. Athletics 9:40PM ET

LEG 2: Jarred Kelenic 1+ HR (+650) with DraftKings

A highly-touted prospect in the Mariners organization, Jarred Kelenic's anticipated entrance into MLB didn't go so well. He struggled at the dish and failed to show the multi-category upside that had baseball fans salivating at his arrival. It's been an entirely different story for the 23-year-old this season, who is obliterating his career marks across the board and displaying his raw power.

He's been leaving the yard in bursts, with his seven home runs coming on four-game and three-game streaks each. There were six games without a home run in between those streaks and it's been six games without a home run since his last. Our model gives Kelenic a 20.2% chance for a home run tonight and his track record says he's as due as can be.

⚾️ Mariners vs. Athletics Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Mariners vs. Athletics

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Wednesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

MORE: Wednesday's Top MLB Props

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MLB +3350 Home Run Parlay Wednesday, May 3, 2023

1️⃣ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1+ HR
2️⃣ Jarred Kelenic 1+ HR

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing