MLB Wednesday Home Run Props Parlay - May 10, 2023

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Written by Dave Garofolo
MLB Wednesday Home Run Props Parlay - May 10, 2023

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Wednesday, May 10. Tonight's parlay features players from the Phillies vs. Blue Jays and Padres vs. Twins games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Wednesday's MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

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MLB +2487 Home Run Parlay For Wednesday 

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr 1+ HR

+475

Fernando Tatis Jr. 1+ HR

+380

Wednesday MLB Parlay Analysis

Phillies vs. Blue Jays, 4:05PM EST

LEG 1: Vladimir Guerrero Jr 1+ HR (+475) with DraftKings

One of our most popular go-to guys for our home run parlay gets an afternoon appearance today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has come through for us multiple times in the parlay this year and we're going back to him with our model giving him a 23.0% chance with a 5.6% edge on the odds at DraftKings.

His pitching matchup with the Phillies' Zack Wheeler isn't an easy one, but in five plate appearances vs. Wheeler, Vladdy has picked up four hits and gone yard once. It's a small sample size but backed by our model's predictions, we're locking in Vladito for leg number one.

⚾️ Phillies vs. Blue Jays Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Phillies vs. Blue Jays


Twins vs. Padres 7:40PM ET

LEG 2: Fernando Tatis Jr. 1+ HR (+380) with DraftKings

The Nando-lorian takes the second leg of our parlay. Tatis Jr. continues to produce since his return from suspension. He's seeing on average at least five plate appearances per game, which gives us plenty of opportunities. He also draws a tougher matchup than usual against the Twins' Pablo Lopez, but our model gives him a  strong 26.5% home run probability tonight so we're backing El Niño.

⚾️ Twins vs. Padres Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Twins vs. Padres


MLB +2487 Home Run Parlay Wednesday, May 10, 2023

1️⃣ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1+ HR
2️⃣ Fernando Tatis Jr. 1+ HR

 

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Wednesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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