MLB Tuesday Home Run Props Parlay - 18 April, 2023

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Written by Greg Waddell
MLB Tuesday Home Run Props Parlay - 18 April, 2023

Dinger Tuesday is back, and after our huge parlay cash last week, we're looking to keep it rolling with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Tuesday, April 18. Tonight's parlay features players from the White Sox vs. Phillies and Brewers vs. Mariners games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Tuesday's MLB Best Bets

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MLB Home Run Parlay For Tuesday

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Luis Robert 1+ HR

+500

Rowdy Tellez 1+ HR

+450

Tuesday MLB Parlay Analysis

Phillies vs. White Sox, 4:10PM ET

LEG 1: Luis Robert 1+ HR (+500) with DraftKings

Robert sits tied for 6th in the MLB with five home runs on the season, and he is now on his longest drought since the season began, with four games since his last bomb. Meaning....he is due! Tonight he faces Phillies starter Bailey Falter, who gave up 16 home runs last season and has already allowed two this year in three appearances. With a 4.80 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP, hitters have been able to tee off on Falter this year, and Robert is one of the best in the business. Positive home run regression tonight? We think so! Our model projects Robert with a 17.7% chance of going yard, good for a 3.4% edge on the sportsbooks.

⚾️ White Sox vs. Phillies Predictions
📈 Betting preview: White Sox vs. Phillies


Brewers vs. Mariners, 9:40PM ET

LEG 2: Rowdy Tellez 1+ HR (+450) with DraftKings

Tellez is one of the few players in the league that sits tied with Robert with five home runs! One of the most powerful swingers in the game, Tellez is a threat to go deep any time he steps up to the plate, and like Robert, he's due! He has now gone three consecutive games without a homer, and he hasn't gone four consecutive games once all April without hitting a HR. Tonight the Brewers face Logan Gilbert, who give up 19 home runs last season but has only given up one this year so far. Our model gives Tellez a 19.9% probability to go deep, and that's one of the highest probabilities of tonight's slate.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Tuesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.


MLB Props Parlay Tuesday April 11, 2023

1️⃣ - Luis Robert 1+ HR
2️⃣ - Rowdy Tellez 1+ HR

 

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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Written by
Greg Waddell
Creative Strategist

Greg Waddell is a self-proclaimed college basketball addict, with an affinity for parlays and fantasy football trades. He's based in Michigan, where he hasn't seen one of his professional sports teams win anything of any importance since he was in diapers.

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