MLB Thursday Home Run Props Parlay - May 11, 2023

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Thursday, May 11. Tonight's parlay features players from the Diamondback-Giants game as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Thursday's MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

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MLB +4000 Home Run Parlay For Thursday 

Thursday MLB Parlay Analysis

Diamondbacks vs. Giants, 9:40PM EST

LEG 1: Christian Walker 1+ HR (+700) with DraftKings

We start today with Christian Walker, who has faced Giants' starter Alex Cobb plenty of times in his career, and he has had a ton of success against him. Walker is hitting .429 in 14 at-bats, with six hits, three walks and a home run. Walker is a deep threat anytime, as evidenced by his nine homers on the season. He has five home runs already in the month of May and will look to add to that tonight. DimersBOT gives Walker a 21.1% probability of hitting a dinger tonight, good for a 7.7% edge on the books.

LEG 2: David Villar 1+ HR (+550) with DraftKings

Villar faces Diamondbacks starter Tommy Henry tonight, and in only two career at-bats against Henry, Villar has already homered. He should be licking his chops tonight. Villar has four homers on the season, but with a matchup he loves, he has a great chance to add to that total this evening. Our model projects Villar to hit a home run 19% of the time, and at +550 odds, that's worth a 3.0% edge on the sportsbooks. Good enough for us.

⚾️ Diamondbacks vs. Giants Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Diamondbacks vs. Giants

MLB +4000 Home Run Parlay Thursday, May 11, 2023

1️⃣ Christian Walker 1+ HR
2️⃣ David Villar 1+ HR 

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Thursday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing