MLB Player Prop Predictions and Lotto Parlay for Wednesday [10/4/23]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
MLB Player Prop Predictions and Lotto Parlay for Wednesday [10/4/23]

MLB player props are one of the most entertaining bet types you can make in 2023. Using sophisticated AI and machine learning predictive analytics for MLB, we're able to identify the best prop bets today to place with your favorite sports books today, Wednesday, October 4. Baseball betting is one of the great American pastimes, so let's use the power of machine learning to help us profit from our online sports betting by tailing our MLB player props below - heck, you could even lotto parlay them up to +15762 odds!

Your game not here? Head over to our best MLB prop bets today and source the best plays for your team. Don't forget to check out our Best Bets for All Sports Today, Wednesday, October 4 as well!

Before you dive into our props, you should know that it definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports. 

For example, did you know that new users at bet365 can get $365 in bonus bets after betting just $1? That's easily one of the best promos to take advantage of when betting on this postseason.

 

MLB Player Prop Bets: Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Blue Jays vs. Twins 4:38PM (EDT)

BET: Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)

Our AI machine, DimersBOT, has the Twins' Sonny Gray with a 64.3% chance to go over 4.5 strikeouts this afternoon. At his odds of -105, placing this bet gives us an edge of 13.0% versus the best sportsbook odds on offer. Gray hit this mark in 12 of 16 starts dating back to July. Grab this at DraftKings where new users can get $200 in bonus bets *and* no-sweat bets every game day for just a $5 wager when they sign up. 

BET: Matt Wallner to Get a Hit (-125)

Matt Wallner gets a 62.0% chance from our model to pick up a knock in Game 2 of this Wild Card series. Wallner boasts a .281 batting average against righthanded pitchers like Jose Berrios who starts for the Jays. We get a solid 6.5% edge on another prop we should grab at bet365, where new users can turn just $1 into $365 in bonus bets here

D-Backs vs. Brewers 7:08PM (EDT)

BET: Zac Gallen Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+124)

How about another pitcher prop? This is the highest edge of any prop our model has found today. Diamondbacks ace Zac Gallen gets a 57.7% probability of registering at least six strikeouts tonight. At odds of +124, this price gives us a significant 13.1% edge. Gallen's 220 regular-season Ks were the sixth-most in MLB. This is one we should bet with FanDuel, where new users can turn just $5 into $200 in bonus bets here.

*Note: This line has moved to Over 4.5 (-146) but you can still take his 6+ strikeouts prop at +154.

Marlins vs. Phillies 8:08PM (EDT)

BET: Kyle Schwarber to Get an RBI (+210)

Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber gets a 36.7% probability to record an RBI against the Marlins. Compared to our numbers, we have a 4.5% edge against the best odds, one of the highest for an RBI today. If you're feeling adventurous, take him for a HR. He did have the second-most this season, after all. Get the best odds at DraftKings where new users can get $200 in bonus bets for just a $5 wager when they sign up. 

Rangers vs. Rays 3:08PM (EDT)

BET: Isaac Paredes To Get a HR (+550)

It's do-or-die time for the Rays so we're looking to their regular-season home run leader, Isaac Paredes, to go deep in Game 2. DimersBOT has Paredes down as a 19.0% chance to hit a home run against the Rangers. Rangers' starter Nathan Eovaldi has been pretty good against the home run, but the Rangers bullpen fell apart late in the season. Our model says this one should be closer to +400, so get these excellent odds at bet365, where new users can turn just $1 into $365 in bonus bets here.

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Your game not here? Head over to our MLB best props page and source the best plays for your team today.

MLB AI player props and betting picks for Wednesday August 9

You can find more MLB props here, and if you're interested in parlaying these, or any other picks, then check out our new parlay picker tool that allows users to generate their own parlays at the click of a button, and with the preferences that matter most to them.

Get ready for an amazing time while also gambling responsibly! Picture it as pure entertainment, not some way to strike it rich quickly. Only wager money that you're totally fine with losing. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support. Let the good times roll!

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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