MLB Parlay: Our Best Bet Today [Thursday 8/8/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
MLB's Home Run Leader Aaron Judge.
New York Yankees OF Aaron Judge Leads Tonight's MLB Parlay.

Out of a 10-game MLB slate on Thursday, August 8, six of these games take place in the evening and we've cooked up a little +638 parlay with one prop from three different games, along with a way to use this MLB parlay with a  sportsbook promo tonight.

Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we're using some "behind-the-scenes" data to create this parlay.

By using both our most-likely hitters and our home run probabilities, all sourced from our predictive analytics model, we're able to find betting opportunities that don't normally appear in our Best MLB Bets and MLB Player Props. Let's break down the key player prop bets and trends that make this parlay a potential goldmine on Thursday, August 8.

MLB Parlays with Dimers Pro

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Dimers Pro gives you access to everything Dimers has to offer right now and in the future, including our full list of today’s best MLB bets and our cutting-edge Parlay Picker.

We've partnered with BetMGM Sportsbook to give all users 3 months of complementary Dimers Pro access when you sign up at the sportsbook and you can learn more about this exclusive, limited time offer hereor by clicking on the card below.

MLB Parlay Tonight - August 8, 2024

You can find about 150 bets and props with an edge in tonight's games with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on this parlay, you're sure to find a value play that's right for you.

To create this parlay, we're using Dimers Pro data exclusive to our Dimers Pro VIP Discord members.

Every day, we release our Top 15 Home Run hitters and Top 20 Hit probabilities from the back-end data of our model. Discord access is included at no extra cost with any Dimers Pro subscription, providing you with even more value for less than $1/day.


The strategy behind this parlay is simple - take a player featured in our Top 20 hit list *and* in our top overall home run hitters, and select them to get 2+ bases. This can be achieved by multiple hits or an extra-base hit. Advancing on the basepath via another player does not count. 

Some of these players may be good HR plays on their own, so consult our Best MLB Props page for their standalone value.

Leg 1: Aaron Judge 2+ Total Bases (+115)

Our no. 1 slugger of then ight (and virtually every night) leads the way in this parlay and he's got the best odds out of all three guys.

The presumptive AL MVP leads the American League in virtually every offensive category. He's a tank and a monster at the dish, but we're getting plus money on him because he's been walked a ton.

He has nearly as many walks (16) as hits (19) in the past 15 days. Over a month, he's got 2 more walks (31) than hits (29). Despite that, he's got 10 multi-hit or games with an XBH since the All-Star Break, including three in his past five where he's been hitting .533.

Judge gets a 78.5% hit probability to go along with our biggest home run probability of the night at 36.0%.

Full Game Projections: In-Depth Betting Previews For Every MLB Game

Leg 2: Ketel Marte 2+ Total Bases (-125)

Next we'll look at Ketel Marte, the D-Backs All-Star snub and recent NL MVP contender (though he's well behind Shohei).

Marte and the D-Backs host the Phillies tonight in Chase Field where he's hitting .340 with 25 XBH in 206 AB. That's multiple bases in one swing every 8 ABs for the slugger.

He's homered in 3 of his past 4 games, and picked up at least 2 bases in 12 of 18 games since the break with a Top 6 batting average over the past month. Even better? He's got a lefty matchup with the Phils' Kolby Allard - Marte is hitting .360 against lefties this year, with 16 of his 19 HR off of them.

He gets a 77.5% hit probability to go along with 18.1% to hit a home run.


Leg 3: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ Total Bases (-110)

We'll close it out with a player who's somehow even hotter at the dish than these other two guys.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has turned his season around in spectacular fashion. Following a slow April in which he struggled to hit, he quickly ramped up his average, though power wasn't quite there. He solved that, clubbing 8 HR in back-to-back months and posting an absurd .424 batting average over the past 30 days, picking up an XBH or multiple hits in 13/18 games since the break.

Against today's starter for the O's, Dean Kremer, Vladdy has hit 4 home runs, a double and owns a .320 average in 25 at bats. He's got 16 HR and 23 doubles off righties this year.

Tonight he gets a 75.9% hit probability and a strong 21.9% home run chance as well.

Lottos and Longshots: Create unlimited parlays by using custom filters with Dimers Pro!

MLB Parlay Bet Today: August 8, 2024

Having simulated tonight's MLB games 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the three players to use in a Total Bases parlay at +638 odds!

Player (Team)
Parlay Bet
HIT/HR Probability
Aaron Judge (Yankees)
2+ Bases (+115)
78.5% | 36.0%
Ketel Marte (D-Backs)
2+ Bases (-125)
77.5% | 18.1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays)
2+ Bases (-110)
75.9% | 21.9%
 

Tonight's MLB Parlay Boost

If you add one more leg to this parlay, you'll be able to play it with a Parlay Boost at DraftKings.

Keep in mind that adding a fourth leg will come with more risk, but you can attempt to mitigate that by using one of our stronger probability 1+ Hit props from one of the same games, like Gabriel Moreno (78.5%) or Juan Soto (78.7%). There may be odds restrictions for your included legs, so be sure to check the terms for any promos.

Dimers' Expert MLB Parlays

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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