MLB Opening Day: Three Underdog Bets To Cover The Run Line

Opening Day 2023 is here and we've run the Dimers AI predictive analytics model over every game to determine where the sportsbook value lies for MLB bettors across the United States. As always, we've simulated the Opening Day matchups over 10,000 times to find any and all betting edges in the market. From there, you can take these picks straight up, or even use them in a parlay - the choice is yours.

RELATED: MLB Season 2023: Season Awards Preview and Predictions

MLB Opening Day Best Bets

We're focusing on three games for Thursday's Opening Day slate, Angels vs. Athletics, Braves vs. Nationals and D-Backs vs. Dodgers and we're attacking them all at the run line. Our predictive analytics model has identified these three games as the best ones to bet and, better yet, we're riding with the money line underdogs in all three of them.

Angels vs. Athletics

Best Bet: A's on the run line (+105 @ DraftKings)

The Athletics (+1.5) take on the favored Angels (-1.5) on Opening Day of the 2022 MLB season at Oakland Coliseum on Thursday, starting at 10:07PM ET.

Kyle Muller (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the ball for the Athletics, while the Angels are going with Shohei Ohtani (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

According to our predictive analytics model, the Athletics (+1.5) are a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 7 runs is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Bet the A's to cover the run line with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best predictions for Angels vs. A's

• Run Line: Athletics +1.5 is a 56% probability
• Moneyline: Athletics (+194) via FanDuel Sportsbook (6.8% edge)
• Total: Under 7 is a 50% chance of hitting so take it at DraftKings Sportsbook

BONUSES: Learn how you can turn $6 into $565 worth of bonus bets for Opening Day

Braves vs. Nationals

Best Bet: Nationals on the run line (+122 @ DraftKings)

The Nationals (+2) and the Braves (-1.5) lock horns on Opening Day of the 2022 MLB season at Nationals Park on Thursday, starting at 1:05PM ET.

Patrick Corbin (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will be on the bump for the Nationals, while the Braves will counter with Max Fried (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, we have determined that the Nationals (+1.5) are a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run Over/Under is a 54% chance of going Over.

Bet the Nationals to cover the run line with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best predictions for Braves vs. Nationals

• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 is a 52% probability
• Moneyline: Nationals @ +220 via FanDuel Sportsbook (6.9% edge)
• Total: Over 7.5 @ -118 via FanDuel Sportsbook (54% probability)

D-Backs vs. Dodgers

Best Bet: D-Backs on the run line (-140 @ DraftKings)

The Dodgers (-1) take on the Diamondbacks (+1.5) on Opening Day of the 2022 MLB season at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, starting at 10:10PM ET.

Julio Urías (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will start for the Dodgers, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Zac Gallen (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently in the market at -140 for the underdog Diamondbacks (+1.5) to cover the run line.

Best predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

• Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 is a 60% probability
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks (+154) via FanDuel Sportsbook (2.1% edge)
• Total: Under 7.5 is a 51% chance BetMGM