MLB Monday Home Run Props Parlay - April 25, 2023

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Written by Dave Garofolo
MLB Monday Home Run Props Parlay - April 25, 2023

A new week begins in the MLB and we're looking to start it off right with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Tuesday, April 25. Tonight's parlay features players from the Rockies vs. Guardians and Athletics vs. Angels games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Tuesday's MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

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MLB +2720 Home Run Parlay For Tuesday 

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1+ HR

+370

Christian Walker 1+ HR

+500

Tuesday MLB Parlay Analysis

White Sox vs. Blue Jays, 7:07PM ET

LEG 1: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1+ HR (+370) with DraftKings

Our model gives Vladdy a 29.9% chance to go yard tonight, a chunky 8.6% edge over the books' odds of +370. Over his last six games, he's alternated between hitting a home run and not hitting one. Last night, he didn't, and for one of the best hitters in the game, the law of averages plays well into our hand tonight.

Similarly, Mike Clevinger who will be on the rubber for the White Sox tonight, has also alternated good starts with mediocre starts, and he's coming off a mediocre one. His matchup with Vladito isn't a favorable one though, as he ranks in the bottom half of MLB in numerous power-hitting categories. though his trend runs contrary to Guerrerro Jr.'s, we're backing the model's projection tonight.

⚾️ White Sox vs. Blue Jays Predictions
📈 Betting preview: White Sox vs. Blue Jays


Royals vs. Diamondbacks, 9:40PM ET

LEG 2: Christian Walker 1+ HR (+500) with DraftKings

It's been a bit of a slow start for Christian Walker this season, but he's been heating up over the past week. Slashing a .348 average to go along with a .609 slugging percentage, it looks like Walker is getting in stride. He's hit just one homer in the past week and only three on the year, but draws a plus-pitching matchup with Brady Singer on the mound for the Royals.

After pitching a five-inning gem to start the season, Brady Singer has been in freefall. He's given up five, eight and five earned runs over his past three starts. His statcast is abysmal, and he sits in the bottom 1% of all of MLB pitchers in average exit velocity (97.6 mph), hard-hit percentage and expected slugging.

⚾️ Royals vs. Diamondbacks Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Royals vs. Diamondbacks

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Tuesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

MORE: Tuesday's Top MLB Props


MLB +2720 Home Run Parlay Tuesday, April 25, 2023

1️⃣ Guerrero Jr. HR
2️⃣ Walker HR

 

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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