MLB Home Run Round Robin Parlay - Tuesday, May 7

It's time to chase those home runs on Tuesday, May 7! As you're likely aware, we love our home run props at Dimers. From single edge plays to round robins and "Dinger Tuesday", we're always on the hunt for the next guy (or guys) to go yard on any given MLB night.

If you follow us on Twitter/X, then you know we drop Home Run Round Robins every day that we have the data available to do so. You can read our detailed guide into Round Robin strategy here, and it's not just exclusive to baseball, either!

You can find upwards of 50+ home run props on full game days within Dimers Pro. While we lean on our Dimers Prodata to identify our favorite round robin targets, we use a multitude of resources to narrow down our "final five" from the DimersBOT selections.

In an effort to continue building up our content offerings, as well as give you further insight into our Round Robin process, we're going to roll out this daily article as a companion piece to the final round Robin parlay we go with.

MORE: How to Build Home Run Parlays with Dimers Pro

Depending on when you check this article throughout the day, you'll find updates including our earliest HR Prop edges available, our short list of potential candidates before we narrow them down, and finally, our five picks with a little insight into why we chose them.

Let's get right into it!

Best Home Run Prop Bets - Tuesday, May 7

Below, you'll find the Top 5 Home Run Prop edges available to Dimers Pro as of 10:00 AM ET this morning. More often than not, at least one or two of these players will find their way into our final round robin play.

RELATED: Detailed Home Run Round Robin Strategy

Today's Home Run Targets

On first glance, these are the players we'll be researching today, Tuesday, May 7. These may come from our top probabilities, hot hitters, good matchups - whatever stands out first. Some may get added into this list, while others are taken off as we dig deeper into our data. This list will populate throughout the day, so check back later if it's blank!

Best Home Run Matchups - May 7

Here's a quick look at what stands out from our additional research - vulnerable pitchers, hot hitters, good weather, etc.

• Favorable weather: Blue Jays vs. Phillies, Brewers vs. Royals
• Bullpens allowing the most HR: Rays, Blue Jays (22), Angels (19), Dodgers, White Sox, Marlins, Brewers (17)
• Pitcher targets: Kenta Maeda (DET), Miles Mikolas (STL), Michael Soroka (White Sox), Kyle Harrison (Giants)
• Sneaky Hot Hitters: S. Ohtani (LAD), T. Hernandez (LAD), C. Morel (CHC), B. Rooker (OAK), M. Muncy (LAD) (3+ HR last 7 days)

Home Run Picks for Tuesday, May 7

Pick 1: Isaac Paredes to Hit a Home Run

The highest probability in our Round Robin is Rays third baseman Isaac Paredes at 22%. With 7 home runs on the year, Paredes is in a prime matchup tonight against the White Sox who are starting Mike Soroka.

Soroka has allowed 7 homers this year and his 6.4 xHR are the 11th-most in MLB. He's righthander and Paredes has hit all of his home runs off righties. Plus, we get the White Sox bullpen that has allowed 17 home runs (T-3rd most) this season.

⚾ Full White Sox vs. Rays Game Prediction

Pick 2: Max Muncy to Hit a Home Run 

Next is Max Muncy who's fresh off a three-HR game just three night ago. Muncy gets a 21% probability to go yard in the midst of a strong offensive streak that has raised his SLG% to the highest its's been all season.

He's up against Edward Cabrera who has only given up a pair of homers, but owns a 12th percentile Barrel % against Muncy's 82nd and the Marlins' weak bullpen (17 home runs allowed).

⚾ Full Marlins vs. Dodgers Game Prediction

Pick 3: Ryan Mountcastle to Hit a Home Run

The Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle is up next with a 21% probability to hit a home run against the Nationals. Last year, Nats starter Trevor Williams allowed 34 home runs but he's yet to give one up this year through 31.2 IP. Will he break tonight?

Mountcastle has hit five home runs this year and hits both the fastball and changeup well, Williams' top two pitch types.

⚾ Full Orioles vs. Nationals Game Prediction

Pick 4: Vinnie Pasquantino to Hit a Home Run

Next we've got the hard-hitting first-baseman for the Royals, Vinnie Pasquantino. The Italian Nightmare has four dingers this year, and all of righthanders like he'll face tonight with the Brewers' Colin Rea. Even better? Rea has allowed five home runs this year, all off lefties like Pas!

Winds are blowing a little to the left and while Pasquantino has dumped all his home runs over the right field fence, the rest bodes well alongside his 20% probability.

⚾ Full Brewers vs. Royals Game Prediction

Pick 5: Ryan McMahon to Hit a Home Run

We finish with the lowest probability of the five but that doesn't make him our least-worthy pick. Ryan McMahon gets a 16% probability of leaving Coors Field tonight.

He draws a matchup with the Giants young southpaw Kyle Harrison who has allowed five home runs so far this season. McMahon has launched five of his own and hits both lefties and righties very well (2 HR, .920 OPS against LHP). McMahon's primary home run metrics are all in the top 90th percentile of MLB, including his Barrel %.

⚾ Full Giants vs. Rockies Game Prediction

Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.