MLB Home Run Props for Dinger Tuesday, May 9: Can White Sox Tee-off against Jordan Lyles?

it’s Dinger Tuesday at FanDuel! Combining two of our favorite things, home runs and betting, this is practically a weekly holiday for baseball bettors. Let’s start the party.

RELATED: Tuesday’s AI Prop Picks

First things first: if you’re not signed up at FanDuel, head on over and do so ASAP. They’re offering new users $150 in bonus bets for placing just a $5 bet, win or lose. Combined with the Dinger Tuesday promotion, you could leave tonight’s slate with up to  or over $200 in bonus bets, an excellent bankroll builder for any recreational sports bettor.

What is Dinger Tuesday?

Dinger Tuesday is an exclusive promotion from FanDuel Sportsbook and one of the best promos across all of sports betting. Here’s how it works: place one $25+ bet on any player to hit a home run in any Tuesday night MLB game, and for every home run hit by either team in the game, you will earn $5 in bonus bets, up to a maximum of $25 per game.

In short, win or lose, you could potentially cash in $25 in bonus bets for every game in which you place a home run prop.

Note: Some users have a $25 per game cap while others may have a max cap of $50 in bonus bet winnings.

How should you bet Dinger Tuesday?

There are multiple approaches to this promo: you could place a bet on the most likely player to hit a home run in any given game; if they hit one, you cash in plus have the potential of bonus bet payouts for any additional home runs. You could also target a longshot with hopes of a massive payout and the chance to get some of your bet back if it loses. Either way, you want to target games with a high total and a stronger chance for home runs.

RELATED: Our +4172 Home Run Parlay for Tuesday

Regardless of which strategy you choose, we’ve identified the White Sox vs. Royals game as tonight’s best value for capitalizing on Dinger Tuesday at FanDuel. Below, you’ll find a preview of the game along with the five players we’ve identified with a double-digit HR probability, as well as an edge over the book with their posted odds.

White Sox vs. Royals 7:40PM EST Preview

Dinger Tuesday Best Bets

Player	Odds	Probability
Gavin Sheets (CWS)	+540	21.2%
Luis Robert (CWS)	+540	20.0%
Andrew Vaughn (CWS)	+600	18.5%
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)	+600	17.6%
Yasmani Grandal (CWS)	+560	16.2%

The first thing that jumps out to us is the value on the home run props in this game. Oftentimes, FanDuel's lines are worse on Tuesdays because of the liability they face with the Dinger Tuesday promotion. That we have multiple 20% or greater probability props at +540 is a big reason our model likes this game so much, the other being Royals starter Jordan Lyles, which we'll get into below.

Gavin Sheets is our most probable home run hitter in this one, and is also one of our two legs in tonight's HR parlay. He and Luis Robert are the best bang for your buck out of the top hitters and would be our recommended plays, unless you're looking for a longer odds play, in which case Nick Pratto has the best edge with his odds of +870.

As far as pitching matchups go, Lucas Giolito will toe the rubber for the White Sox while Jordan Lyles takes the mound for Kansas City. Giolito regularly vacillates between his Cy Young form and a little league tee. We don't know which version of him we get tonight, but he's good for one or two long balls any time he starts.

Jordan Lyles has started seven games and allowed at least two home runs in five of them, including four straight (nine total in that span). He profiles as a home run pitcher and we just need him to be his usual self tonight against a White Sox lineup that possesses power.

Longshot options: Nick Pratto (+870) 16% or Tim Anderson (+750) 12.2%

RELATED: Tuesday’s +200 MLB Parlay from @CallingOurShot

It’s worth noting that all of these home run props have better odds on DraftKings and BetMGM, and sometimes significantly, but you won’t get the advantage of the Dinger Tuesday bonus bets. They are still recommended plays on the other books, especially with a larger payout.

For more MLB picks, insights and predictions, check out our full MLB Props page, utilize our customizable Parlay Picker and see our daily game-by-game predictions for the full slate.