MLB Friday Home Run Props Parlay - May 12, 2023

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Friday, May 12. Tonight's parlay features two players from the Phillies vs. Rockies game as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Friday's MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

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MLB +1900 Home Run Parlay For Friday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Kyle Schwarber 1+ HR	+320
C.J. Cron 1+ HR	+475

Friday MLB Parlay Analysis

Phillies vs. Rockies, 8:40PM ET

LEG 1: Kyle Schwarber 1+ HR (+320) with DraftKings

A regular friend of the Dimers' Home Run Parlay, Kyle Schwarber returns! DimersBOT gives Schwarber a mammoth 36.6% probability to hit a homer tonight against the Rockies, and gets an 11% edge in the odds, with our model suggesting his odds should be closer to +200, giving us great value.

He draws a pitching matchup with Colorado's Austin Gomber, who sports a 6.75 ERA this season. Gomber has allowed a home run in all but two starts and ranks around the middle of the league's qualified pitchers in terms of exit velocity and HardHit%. He doesn't miss many bats, and we get the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field which is always a good boon when we're chasing home runs.

⚾️ Phillies vs. Rockies Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Phillies vs. Rockies

 

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Phillies vs. Rockies, 8:40PM ET

LEG 2: C.J. Cron 1+ HR (+475) with DraftKings

We're sticking with the same game for our other leg, but this time we're taking the Rockies' HR leader with C.J. Cron. He's got six on the year but is still looking to register his first dinger in May. Tonight's a good chance to do that, as he'll face the Phillies' Taijuan Walker.

Walker has allowed eight home runs this season, including four this month. Our model is giving Cron a 23.9% chance to go yard tonight, again with the added bonus of Coors Field. 

⚾️ Phillies vs. Rockies Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Phillies vs. Rockies

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Friday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

MORE: Friday's Top MLB Props

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MLB +1900 Home Run Parlay Friday, May 12, 2023

1️⃣ Kyle Schwarber 1+ HR
2️⃣ C.J. Cron 1+ HR

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing