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Vikings vs. Packers Prediction: Green Bay Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]
The Green Bay Packers will square off with the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 4 action at Lambeau Field on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Vikings-Packers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Packers with a win probability of 58%, while the Vikings have 42%."
Vikings vs. Packers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Packers and Vikings at Lambeau Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
- Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Lambeau Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Packers and Vikings gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Vikings vs. Packers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Packers vs. Vikings picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Vikings vs. Packers Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Vikings and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Packers a 58% chance of beating the Vikings in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 23-21.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Vikings and Packers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
In addition to our Vikings vs. Packers predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Vikings vs. Packers Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Vikings | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (+100) | -2.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | o44.5 (-110) | u44.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Vikings vs. Packers Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Vikings vs. Packers matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Vikings vs. Packers TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs. Packers?
According to our model, Minnesota's Aaron Jones is most likely to score the first TD in Vikings vs. Packers.
Our projections give Jones a 12.2% chance of getting in for six first at Lambeau Field, while the Vikings RB is a 48.5% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 12.2% |
| Justin Jefferson | 10.7% |
| Jordan Addison | 7.3% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 11.0% |
| Jayden Reed | 7.8% |
| Christian Watson | 5.4% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 48.5% |
| Justin Jefferson | 44.4% |
| Jordan Addison | 32.2% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 44.9% |
| Jayden Reed | 34.5% |
| Christian Watson | 24.8% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions
Vikings vs Packers Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Packers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Vikings-Packers page now to access every player prop projection.
Vikings vs. Packers Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Sam Darnold is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Packers' Jordan Love.
Vikings Rushing
Aaron Jones, Ty Chandler and Sam Darnold are projected to be the leading rushers for the Vikings.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | RB |
| Ty Chandler | RB |
| Sam Darnold | QB |
Packers Rushing
Josh Jacobs, Emanuel Wilson and Jordan Love are expected to lead the Packers in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | RB |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB |
| Jordan Love | QB |
Vikings Receiving
Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jalen Nailor, Johnny Mundt and Aaron Jones are projected to top the receiving yards for the Vikings.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | WR |
| Jordan Addison | WR |
| Jalen Nailor | WR |
| Johnny Mundt | TE |
| Aaron Jones | RB |
Packers Receiving
Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks and Tucker Kraft are projected to lead the Packers in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs | WR |
| Jayden Reed | WR |
| Christian Watson | WR |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR |
| Tucker Kraft | TE |
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Conclusion
We predict the Packers, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 4 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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