Vikings vs. Packers Prediction: Green Bay Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Minnesota Vikings-Green Bay Packers Predictions and Game Preview.
Lambeau Field sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers this Sunday.

The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings will meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at Lambeau Field on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Vikings-Packers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Packers with a win probability of 59%, while the Vikings have 41%."

Vikings vs. Packers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 game between the Packers and Vikings at Lambeau Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Vikings vs. Packers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Packers vs. Vikings picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Vikings vs. Packers Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Vikings and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Packers a 59% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 23-20.

According to our model, the Vikings (+3) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Along with our Vikings vs. Packers predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for this week's action:

Vikings vs. Packers Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Vikings Packers
Spread +3 (-115) -3 (-105)
Moneyline +125 -144
Total o43.5 (-110) u43.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Vikings vs. Packers Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Vikings vs. Packers matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Vikings vs. Packers TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs. Packers?

According to our model, Minnesota's Aaron Jones is most likely to score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Packers.

Our projections give Jones a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Vikings RB is a 49.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player First TD Probability
Aaron Jones 12.7%
Justin Jefferson 11.0%
Jordan Addison 7.6%

Green Bay Packers

Player First TD Probability
Josh Jacobs 10.9%
Jayden Reed 7.4%
Christian Watson 5.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player Anytime TD Probability
Aaron Jones 49.1%
Justin Jefferson 43.7%
Jordan Addison 32.8%

Green Bay Packers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Josh Jacobs 44.1%
Jayden Reed 34.1%
Christian Watson 25.0%

Vikings vs Packers Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Packers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Vikings-Packers page now to access every player prop projection.

Vikings vs. Packers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Sam Darnold is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Packers' Jordan Love.

Vikings Rushing

Aaron Jones, Ty Chandler and Sam Darnold are projected to be the leading rushers for the Vikings.

Player Position
Aaron Jones RB
Ty Chandler RB
Sam Darnold QB

Packers Rushing

Josh Jacobs, Emanuel Wilson and Jordan Love are expected to lead the Packers in rushing yards.

Player Position
Josh Jacobs RB
Emanuel Wilson RB
Jordan Love QB

Vikings Receiving

Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jalen Nailor, Johnny Mundt and Aaron Jones are projected to top the receiving yards for the Vikings.

Player Position
Justin Jefferson WR
Jordan Addison WR
Jalen Nailor WR
Johnny Mundt TE
Aaron Jones RB

Packers Receiving

Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks and Tucker Kraft are projected to lead the Packers in receiving yards.

Player Position
Romeo Doubs WR
Jayden Reed WR
Christian Watson WR
Dontayvion Wicks WR
Tucker Kraft TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props and has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

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