Vikings vs. Lions Prediction: Detroit Predicted to Win SNF Week 18 [2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions matchup.

Minnesota Vikings-Detroit Lions Predictions and Game Preview.
Ford Field sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions this Sunday.

The Detroit Lions will take on the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 18 action at Ford Field on Sunday, commencing at 8:20PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Minnesota-Detroit game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Lions with a win probability of 58%, while the Vikings have 42%."

This updated Vikings vs. Lions betting preview builds on my early Vikings vs. Lions prediction that I published at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Vikings vs. Lions predictions page.

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Vikings vs. Lions Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Lions and Vikings at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Vikings vs. Lions matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Minnesota vs. Detroit picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Vikings vs. Lions Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Vikings and Lions 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lions a 58% chance of beating the Vikings in Week 18 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 29-26.

According to our model, the Lions (-2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Vikings vs. Lions Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Vikings Lions
Spread +2.5 (+102) -2.5 (-124)
Moneyline +140 -158
Total o56.5 (-110) u56.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Vikings vs. Lions Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Vikings vs. Lions matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Vikings vs. Lions TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Lions?

According to our model, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score the first TD in Vikings vs. Lions.

Our projections give Gibbs a 16.2% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Lions RB is a 69.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player First TD Probability
Justin Jefferson 11.5%
Aaron Jones 10.3%
Jordan Addison 8.1%

Detroit Lions

Player First TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs 16.2%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 9.2%
Jameson Williams 8.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player Anytime TD Probability
Justin Jefferson 56.2%
Aaron Jones 51.2%
Jordan Addison 42.1%

Detroit Lions

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs 69.4%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 45.7%
Jameson Williams 43.2%

Vikings vs Lions Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Lions. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Vikings-Lions page now to access every player prop projection.

Vikings vs. Lions Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Sam Darnold is projected to throw for more yards than the Lions' Jared Goff.

Vikings Rushing

Aaron Jones, Cam Akers and Sam Darnold are projected to be the leading rushers for the Vikings.

Player Position
Aaron Jones RB
Cam Akers RB
Sam Darnold QB

Lions Rushing

Jahmyr Gibbs, Craig Reynolds and Sione Vaki are expected to lead the Lions in rushing yards.

Player Position
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
Craig Reynolds RB
Sione Vaki RB

Vikings Receiving

Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson, Jalen Nailor and Aaron Jones are projected to top the receiving yards for the Vikings.

Player Position
Justin Jefferson WR
Jordan Addison WR
T.J. Hockenson TE
Jalen Nailor WR
Aaron Jones RB

Lions Receiving

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs and Tim Patrick are projected to lead the Lions in receiving yards.

Player Position
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
Jameson Williams WR
Sam LaPorta TE
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
Tim Patrick WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 18 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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