Vikings vs. Bears Prediction: Minnesota Predicted to Win in NFL Week 12 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears matchup.

Minnesota Vikings-Chicago Bears Predictions and Game Preview.
Soldier Field sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears this Sunday.

The Chicago Bears will face the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 12 action at Soldier Field on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Vikings as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Minnesota-Chicago game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Vikings with a win probability of 63%, while the Bears have 37%."

This updated Vikings vs. Bears betting preview builds on my early Vikings vs. Bears prediction that I published at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Vikings vs. Bears predictions page.

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Vikings vs. Bears Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 12 game between the Bears and Vikings at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Vikings vs. Bears matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Minnesota vs. Chicago picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Vikings vs. Bears Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Vikings and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Vikings a 63% chance of beating the Bears in Week 12 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Vikings winning 21-18.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Vikings and Bears each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 39.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

 

Along with our Vikings vs. Bears predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

Vikings vs. Bears Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Vikings Bears
Spread -3 (-104) +3 (-110)
Moneyline -152 +136
Total o39.5 (-112) u39.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Vikings vs. Bears Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Vikings vs. Bears matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Vikings vs. Bears TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Bears?

According to our model, Minnesota's Aaron Jones is most likely to score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Bears.

Our projections give Jones a 14.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Vikings RB is a 48.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player First TD Probability
Aaron Jones 14.3%
Justin Jefferson 13.0%
T.J. Hockenson 6.6%

Chicago Bears

Player First TD Probability
D'Andre Swift 8.9%
Roschon Johnson 6.7%
DJ Moore 6.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player Anytime TD Probability
Aaron Jones 48.6%
Justin Jefferson 45.5%
T.J. Hockenson 27.2%

Chicago Bears

Player Anytime TD Probability
D'Andre Swift 35.5%
DJ Moore 27.2%
Rome Odunze 26.9%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 12 touchdown scorer predictions

Vikings vs Bears Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Bears. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Vikings-Bears page now to access every player prop projection.

Vikings vs. Bears Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Sam Darnold is projected to throw for more yards than the Bears' Caleb Williams.

Vikings Rushing

Aaron Jones, Cam Akers and Sam Darnold are projected to be the leading rushers for the Vikings.

Player Position
Aaron Jones RB
Cam Akers RB
Sam Darnold QB

Bears Rushing

D'Andre Swift, Roschon Johnson and Caleb Williams are expected to lead the Bears in rushing yards.

Player Position
D'Andre Swift RB
Roschon Johnson RB
Caleb Williams QB

Vikings Receiving

Justin Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson, Jordan Addison, Jalen Nailor and Aaron Jones are projected to top the receiving yards for the Vikings.

Player Position
Justin Jefferson WR
T.J. Hockenson TE
Jordan Addison WR
Jalen Nailor WR
Aaron Jones RB

Bears Receiving

DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and D'Andre Swift are projected to lead the Bears in receiving yards.

Player Position
DJ Moore WR
Keenan Allen WR
Rome Odunze WR
Cole Kmet TE
D'Andre Swift RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Vikings, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 12 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

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