Twins vs. Guardians Prediction: Cleveland Predicted to Win Monday's MLB Matchup [4/28/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Monday's Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians matchup.

Minnesota Twins-Cleveland Guardians Predictions and Game Preview.
Progressive Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians this Monday.

The Cleveland Guardians will take on the Minnesota Twins in MLB action at Progressive Field on Monday, beginning at 6:10PM ET.

Gavin Williams (2-1, 4.15 ERA) will start for the Guardians, up against Bailey Ober (2-1, 5.04 ERA) for the Twins.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Guardians as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Minnesota-Cleveland game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Guardians are likely to win, with a probability of 56%, compared to the Twins' 44%."

For further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Twins vs. Guardians predictions page.

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Guardians vs. Twins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Twins and Guardians 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Guardians a 56% chance of beating the Twins.

According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:28PM, Apr 28
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Twins
Win %
45%
55%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Guardians
Twins MIN
Win %
45%
55%
See Matchup
Guardians CLE
Bailey Ober 2-1, 5.04 ERA
Gavin Williams 2-1, 4.15 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Twins vs. Guardians Odds [4/28/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Twins Guardians
Run Line +1.5 (-198) -1.5 (+164)
Moneyline +106 -124
Total o8 (-115) u8 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Twins vs. Guardians Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Twins vs. Guardians matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Twins vs. Guardians Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's MLB action between the Guardians and Twins at Progressive Field is scheduled to start at 6:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Monday's Twins vs. Guardians matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Minnesota vs. Cleveland picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Guardians, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Twins vs. Guardians insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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