Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction: Indiana to Win, Giannis Antetokounmpo Projected for Big Game in Game 1 [2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Game 1 matchup.

Milwaukee Bucks-Indiana Pacers Predictions and Game Preview.
Gainbridge Fieldhouse sets the stage for Game 1 of the series between the Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers this Saturday.

The Indiana Pacers will face the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 1of their 2025 NBA Playoffs series at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Pacers as the most likely winner of Game 1.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Milwaukee-Indiana game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Pacers are more likely to win, while the Bucks have a lower chance of victory."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature stars like Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton and Myles Turner, while the Bucks will rely on Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma and Bobby Portis.

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bucks vs. Pacers predictions page.

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Bucks vs. Bucks Prediction: Who Will Win Game 1?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Bucks and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Pacers a 70% chance of beating the Bucks in Game 1 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Pacers winning 116-110.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bucks and Pacers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:08PM, Apr 19
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Bucks
Pacers -6.5
50%
50%
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See Matchup
Pacers
Bucks MIL
Pacers -6.5
50%
50%
See Matchup
Pacers IND
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Bucks vs. Pacers Game 1 Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Bucks Pacers
Spread +6.5 (-115) -6.5 (-105)
Moneyline +210 -238
Total o227.5 (-110) u227.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Bucks vs. Pacers Picks and Best Bets for Game 1

Our model's strongest edge in today's Bucks vs. Pacers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bucks vs. Pacers Game 1 Player Props

NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Saturday's Milwaukee vs. Indiana matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to lead the Bucks in scoring, while Pascal Siakam is projected to be the top scorer for the Pacers.

Giannis Antetokounmpo 2025.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is projected to be one of the top scorers in tonight's game.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Bucks vs. Pacers Game 1 Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's Game 1 between the Pacers and Bucks in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Bucks and Pacers, made the 2025 NBA Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Bucks vs. Pacers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Milwaukee vs. Indiana picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Pacers, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Bucks on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Keep up with the latest NBA news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the NBA title.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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