Michigan vs. Washington: Key Betting Trends and Odds for the College Football National Championship

As the College Football National Championship Game kicks off tonight at 7:30 pm, the spotlight is on the Washington Huskies and Michigan Wolverines, both boasting undefeated records this season. A closer look at their betting trends throughout the 2023-24 college football season reveals some notable insights to consider when using Dimers' best bets for the National Championship game, powered by our cutting edge predictive analytics model.

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Michigan vs. Washington: Points Spread

Michigan is the -4.5 point favorite vs. Washington

Michigan is trending as the stronger team against the spread (ATS) this season, with an impressive 8-5-1 record. In their semifinal showdown against Alabama, the Wolverines were favored by 2.5 points and covered the spread, clinching a 27-20 victory in overtime.

With such similar records and a 4.5-point spread, something's gotta give tonight.

Washington is the +4.5 point underdog vs. Michigan

On the other side, Washington finished the season 7-6-1 against the spread but delivered a stunning performance in the semifinals by overcoming a 3.5-point underdog status to defeat Texas 31-27.

In this game, the DimersBOT model is favoring Washington with the points, giving them a substantial 59% probability of covering the spread. Against their odds of -105 on BetMGM, that gives us a 7.7% edge, which means their odds should really be out to -150, making this a must-bet at this price.

MORE: The Top Player Props in Michigan vs. Washington

Head-to-Head Odds: Michigan vs. Washington

Michigan is the favorite at -192 odds

Clearly these two teams were unstoppable on the moneyline, but the undefeated records of both teams were achieved through different paths. Michigan spent the entire season as favorites in all 14 games, maintaining a perfect 4-0 record against ranked opponents.

Things get more interesting when considering a Moneyline bet in this game. Michigan is favored by DimersBOT to win, getting a 57% win probability. However, you'd have to lay quite a bit of juice at their odds of -192 at DraftKings if you want to back them to win, and we say they shouldn't be any shorter than -135.

Washington is the underdog at +172 odds

In contrast, Washington, labeled as the underdog in three games, showcased resilience by winning outright and covering the spread in all three instances, joining the elite ranks of teams with a perfect record as underdogs in at least three games.

Washington gets a 43% win probability and with their odds all the way out to +172 at BetMGM, you're getting way more value with a 6.1% edge, meaning they should be closer to +130.

RELATED: Our Betting Preview for Michigan vs. Washington

Michigan vs. Washington Points Total: Over/Under

The points total for the National Championship is 56.5 points

In terms of points total trends, Michigan leaned slightly towards the over, finishing 7-6-1, while Washington maintained a balanced 7-7 record on over/unders. When facing ranked opponents, Michigan remained undefeated at 4-0, while Washington posted an impressive 3-1-1 record.

We're getting a big-play, explosive offense in washington against a lockdown defense from Michigan so things could go either way. DimersBOT doesn't find a significant lean one way or the other, with a 51% probablity of the under. If you are feeling strongly about either the over or under, we suggest using a profit boost to take the odds out to plus money and get yourself some real value.

Remember, these trends are simply a holistic look at both team's results throughout the season. Many other factors contribute to these outcomes, including injuries, matchups and more. However, these trends can offer helpful looks at the tendencies of either team.

As the championship showdown unfolds, these betting trends add an extra layer of anticipation to what promises to be an exhilarating clash between the Washington Huskies and Michigan Wolverines.

MORE: Dimers' Best U.S. Betting Sites

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