Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [4/20/2025]

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins will lock horns in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, starting at 1:35PM ET.

The Phillies will start Jesús Luzardo (2-0, 2.31 ERA), pitting him against Connor Gillispie (0-2, 6.63 ERA) for the Marlins.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Miami-Philadelphia game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 74%, while the Marlins have 26%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Marlins vs. Phillies predictions page.

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Marlins vs. Marlins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 74% chance of defeating the Marlins.

According to our model, the Phillies (-1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 6:28PM, Apr 20

Moneyline

Over / Under

Run Line

Marlins

Win %

27%

73%

+270

-295

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Phillies

Marlins MIA

+270

Win %

27%

73%

See Matchup

Phillies PHI

-295

Connor Gillispie 0-2, 6.63 ERA

Jesús Luzardo 2-0, 2.31 ERA

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Marlins vs. Phillies Odds [4/20/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Marlins vs. Phillies Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Marlins vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Marlins vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 1:35PM ET.

• Who: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025
• Time: 1:35PM ET/10:35AM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Marlins vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Miami vs. Philadelphia picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Marlins vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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