Heat vs. Pelicans Prediction: Miami Predicted to Win Friday's NBA Matchup [4/11/2025]

The New Orleans Pelicans will face the favored Miami Heat in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Friday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Miami-New Orleans game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Heat's chance of winning is 86%, while the Pelicans' is 14%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature players like Jose Alvarado, Antonio Reeves and Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, while the Heat will look to Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo.

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Heat vs. Pelicans predictions page.

Heat vs. Heat Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Heat and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Heat an 86% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 114-101.

According to our model, the Pelicans (+14.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 214.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

Heat vs. Pelicans Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Heat	Pelicans
Spread	-14.5 (-110)	+14.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-1100	+730
Total	o214.5 (-112)	u214.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Heat vs. Pelicans Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Heat vs. Pelicans matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Heat vs. Pelicans Player Props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Heat vs. Pelicans game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.

Tyler Herro is expected to lead the Heat in scoring, while Jose Alvarado is projected to be the top scorer for the Pelicans.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Heat vs. Pelicans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's game between the Pelicans and Heat at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Heat vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Date: Friday, April 11, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Smoothie King Center

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Heat vs. Pelicans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Miami vs. New Orleans picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Heat, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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