Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [12/28/2023]

NBA action continues on Thursday at 10:00PM ET as the Miami Heat square off with the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.

Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for Thursday's Heat vs. Warriors matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Heat vs. Warriors Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and data to simulate the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Heat and Warriors 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NBA predictions.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 71% chance of beating the Heat, and our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 117-111.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Heat and Warriors have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point Over/Under also has a 55% chance of going under.

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Heat vs. Warriors Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Heat	Warriors
Spread	+6.5 (-110)	-6.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+215	-250
Total	o232.5 (-105)	u232.5 (-110)

• The Warriors are currently -6.5 favorites against the Heat, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Heat (+6.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on the market at -110.
• BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Warriors at -250. That means you can risk $250 to win $100 for a total payout of $350 if they get the W.
• Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Heat at +215, where you can bet $100 to profit $215, earning a total payout of $315 if they win.
• The Over/Under sits at 232.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out all of the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

Heat vs. Warriors Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Warriors -6.5	-110
Moneyline	Warriors	-250
Total	Under 232.5	-110

Our NBA best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every time.

Heat vs. Warriors Player Props

NBA player props are a great way to wager on Thursday's Heat vs. Warriors game without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We have crunched the numbers to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers.

Tyler Herro is expected to lead the Heat with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 27 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.

Heat Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Heat:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Tyler Herro	23	5	4	3
Bam Adebayo	21	11	6	0
Jaime Jaquez	17	5	3	1
Duncan Robinson	17	3	3	4
Kevin Love	11	8	3	3

Warriors Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Warriors:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Stephen Curry	27	4	5	5
Klay Thompson	17	4	2	4
Jonathan Kuminga	14	4	2	1
Andrew Wiggins	14	5	2	1
Dario Saric	11	5	2	2

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out the best NBA betting trends for today's games.

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of the Heat vs. Warriors on Thursday December 28, 2023.

Heat vs. Warriors Game Information

Thursday's matchup between the Warriors and Heat at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors
• Date: Thursday December 28, 2023
• Time: 10:00PM ET / 7:00PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center

Our full betting coverage of Heat vs. Warriors includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Heat vs. Warriors

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Calling Our Shot 🏀 Best Bets

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Thursday's Heat vs. Warriors clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Heat vs. Warriors predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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