Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction: Miami Predicted to Win Thursday's NBA Matchup [2/13/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks matchup.

Miami Heat-Dallas Mavericks Predictions and Game Preview.
American Airlines Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks this Thursday.

The Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat will lock horns in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Thursday, starting at 8:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Heat as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Miami-Dallas game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Heat with a win probability of 61% and the Mavericks with 39%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature players like Naji Marshall, Spencer Dinwiddie and Max Christie, while the Heat will rely on Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware and Nikola Jovic.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Heat vs. Mavericks predictions page.

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Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Heat and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Heat a 61% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 110-107.

According to our model, the Heat (-3.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 218.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

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Heat vs. Mavericks Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Heat Mavericks
Spread -3.5 (-102) +3.5 (-118)
Moneyline -144 +130
Total o218.5 (-110) u218.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Heat vs. Mavericks Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Heat vs. Mavericks matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Heat vs. Mavericks Player Props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Thursday's Miami vs. Dallas game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Tyler Herro is expected to lead the Heat in scoring, while Naji Marshall is projected to be the top scorer for the Mavericks.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Heat vs. Mavs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's matchup between the Mavericks and Heat at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30PM ET.

  • Who: Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks
  • Date: Thursday, February 13, 2025
  • Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Heat vs. Mavericks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Miami vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Heat, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest NBA news, NBA best bets and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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