Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction: Cleveland Predicted to Win Game 1 [2025]

The Cleveland Cavaliers will square off with the Miami Heat in Game 1of their 2025 NBA Playoffs series at Rocket Arena on Sunday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of Game 1.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Miami-Cleveland game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Cavaliers with a win probability of 84%, while the Heat have 16%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature players like Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland and Evan Mobley, while the Heat will look to Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo.

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Heat vs. Cavaliers predictions page.

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Heat vs. Heat Prediction: Who Will Win Game 1?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA Playoffs game between the Heat and Cavaliers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers an 84% chance of defeating the Heat in Game 1 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 114-102.

According to our model, the Heat (+12.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 216 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 11:05PM, Apr 20

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

Heat

Heat +12.5

53%

47%

-105

-108

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Cavaliers

Heat MIA

-105

Heat +12.5

53%

47%

See Matchup

Cavaliers CLE

-108

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Heat vs. Cavaliers Game 1 Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Picks and Best Bets for Game 1

Our model's strongest edge in today's Heat vs. Cavaliers matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Game 1 Player Props

Betting on Heat vs. Cavaliers NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.

Tyler Herro is expected to lead the Heat in scoring, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to be the top scorer for the Cavaliers.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Today

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Heat vs. Cavs Game 1 Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's Game 1 between the Cavaliers and Heat in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
• Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Rocket Arena
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.

Sixteen teams, including the Heat and Cavaliers, made the 2025 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Heat vs. Cavaliers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Miami vs. Cleveland picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Cavaliers, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Cavaliers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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