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Read Article Heat vs. Hawks Prediction: Miami Predicted to Win Friday's NBA Play-In Game [4/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Friday's Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat are scheduled to meet in the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament at State Farm Arena on Friday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Miami-Atlanta game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Heat's chance of advancing to face the Cavaliers in the first round of the NBA Playoffs is 55%, while the Hawks' is 45%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature stars like Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu and Dyson Daniels, while the Heat will look to Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo.
For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Heat vs. Hawks predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Heat vs. Heat Prediction: Who Will Win NBA Play-In Game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Heat and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Heat a 55% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 111-109.
According to our model, the Hawks (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 220.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:36PM, Apr 18
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Over / Under
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Heat vs. Hawks Odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Heat | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-115) | +1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | o220.5 (-115) | u220.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Heat vs. Hawks Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Heat vs. Hawks matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Heat vs. Hawks Player Props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Miami vs. Atlanta matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Tyler Herro is expected to lead the Heat with 27 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Trae Young is projected to have 27 points, 3 rebounds and 12 assists for the Hawks.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game Get Dimers Pro Calling Our Shot's Free 🏀 Picks
Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the free picks featured below.
Heat vs. Hawks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's game between the Hawks and Heat at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Friday, April 18, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
The NBA Play-In Tournament involves the teams that ranked 7th through 10th in each conference, including the Heat and Hawks, fighting for a spot in this year's NBA Playoffs.
The winner of the Miami vs. Atlanta matchup will advance to face the Cavaliers in the first round of the NBA Playoffs.
Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Heat vs. Hawks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Miami vs. Atlanta picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Keep up with the latest NBA news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the latest probabilities for the NBA title.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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