Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction: New England Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 5 [2024]

The New England Patriots will take on the Miami Dolphins, in what is expected to be a close NFL Week 5 game, at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Patriots as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Dolphins-Patriots game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Patriots with a win probability of 53%, while the Dolphins have 47%."

Dolphins vs. Patriots Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 matchup between the Patriots and Dolphins at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Patriots and Dolphins gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on FOX via Hulu or FuboTV

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Dolphins vs. Patriots matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Patriots vs. Dolphins picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Dolphins and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Patriots a 53% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted score is Dolphins 18-18 Patriots.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Dolphins and Patriots each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 36.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Along with our Dolphins vs. Patriots predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for this week's action:

• The Best NFL Week 5 Odds
• NFL Picks Straight Up for Week 5
• Picks Against The Spread for NFL Week 5

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Dolphins	Patriots
Spread	+1 (-110)	-1 (-105)
Moneyline	+100	-112
Total	o36.5 (-105)	u36.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Dolphins vs. Patriots matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Dolphins vs. Patriots TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Patriots?

According to our model, Miami's De'Von Achane is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Patriots.

Our projections give Achane a 12.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Dolphins RB is a 40.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player	First TD Probability
De'Von Achane	12.3%
Tyreek Hill	8.6%
Raheem Mostert	8.1%

New England Patriots

Player	First TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson	11.7%
Antonio Gibson	8.4%
Hunter Henry	5.1%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime TD Probability
De'Von Achane	40.3%
Raheem Mostert	31.4%
Tyreek Hill	30.5%

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson	40.9%
Antonio Gibson	30.8%
Ja'Lynn Polk	20.3%

Dolphins vs Patriots Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Dolphins and Patriots. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Dolphins-Patriots page now to access every player prop projection.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tyler Huntley is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Patriots' Jacoby Brissett.

Dolphins Rushing

De'Von Achane, Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Wright are projected to be the leading rushers for the Dolphins.

Player	Position
De'Von Achane	RB
Raheem Mostert	RB
Jaylen Wright	RB

Patriots Rushing

Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson and Jacoby Brissett are expected to lead the Patriots in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Rhamondre Stevenson	RB
Antonio Gibson	RB
Jacoby Brissett	QB

Dolphins Receiving

Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, De'Von Achane, Jonnu Smith and Durham Smythe are projected to top the receiving yards for the Dolphins.

Player	Position
Tyreek Hill	WR
Jaylen Waddle	WR
De'Von Achane	RB
Jonnu Smith	TE
Durham Smythe	TE

Patriots Receiving

Ja'Lynn Polk, DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry, K.J. Osborn and Rhamondre Stevenson are projected to lead the Patriots in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Ja'Lynn Polk	WR
DeMario Douglas	WR
Hunter Henry	TE
K.J. Osborn	WR
Rhamondre Stevenson	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Patriots, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins in Week 5 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dolphins vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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