Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for Wild Card Weekend

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for Wild Card Weekend

It's Super Wild Card Weekend! We're closing out Saturday's pair of playoff contests with our best Same Game Parlay for the Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs clash. We've sourced this parlay by using our best NFL props, powered by our cutting-edge predictive analytics models. By running 1000s of simulations on each game, Dimers can source the best NFL bets and best parlay picks to make each and every day.

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Our +625 Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Same Game Parlay

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Rashee Rice (KC) Over 63.5 Receiving Yards

-115

Isiah Pacheco (KC) Over 64.5 Rushing Yards

-120

Tyreek Hill (MIA) Anytime TD Scorer

+135

+625 Saturday Night Football Parlay Analysis

Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs - Saturday, January 13, 8:10PM ET

LEG 1: Rashee Rice (KC) Over 63.5 Receiving Yards

We start off with the future of the wide receiver position for the Chiefs, rookie wideout Rashee Rice. Rice put together an impressive rookie campaign that began with a Week 1 TD against the Lions and culminated in a final line of 79 receptions, 938 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. He's got the WR1 upside the Chiefs have been chasing since trading Tyreek Hill to Miami in 2022. Now, he'll get his first taste of the postseason up against that very Dolphins team.

DimersBOT loves Rice's over, projecting him for 72 receiving yards with upside against a Miami defense that ended the season right in the middle of the league in terms of receiving yards allowed, and closed out the year by allowing a 100-yard performance to a receiver in four of their final five games, the exception being the lowly Jets.

MORE: Our Best NFL Prop Picks for Wild Card Weekend

LEG 2: Isiah Pacheco (KC) Over 64.5 Rushing Yards

Now, we attack the Dolphins via the ground game and back Isiah Pacheco to clear his rushing yards mark. Our model not only projects Pacehco to clear with ease, but also identifies outright value in his odds. At a 65.3% probability of clearing his line, the -115 odds on offer come with a 12.9% edge, which is significant for a player prop. Additionally, DimersBOT has projected Pacheco for 82 rushing yards throughout 1000s of simulations, perhaps even revealing some ladder potential for the bolder bettors.

Miami's rushing defense was in the top third of the NFL during the regular season, but our model has found a potential opportunity for Kansas City to expose the Dolphins on the ground. 

LEG 3: Tyreek Hill (MIA) Anytime TD Scorer

We couldn't go straight Chiefs, and when there's a valuable touchdown prop on a superstar player, we can't ignore it. Facing his former team yet again, Tyreek Hill gets a 46.7% probability to score tonight, the second-highest in this game behind Isiah Pacheco at 55.6%. That probability suggests his odds should be at +115, yet he's priced at +135 over on DraftKings. That's a big-time edge for a guy who can go nuclear at any moment. With Jaylen Waddle hobbled, Tyreek Hill simply will have to make plays to give the Dolphins a shot in this one. The Chiefs sport one of the top overall defensive units in the NFL, but Tyreek Hill has proven time and time again that he can beat the best.

🏈 Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs


NFL +625 Same Game Parlay Saturday, January 13, 2024

1️⃣ Rashee Rice (KC) Over 63.5 Receiving Yards
2️⃣ Isiah Pacheco (KC) Over 64.5 Rushing Yards
3️⃣ Tyreek Hill (MIA) Anytime TD Scorer

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

 

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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