Dolphins vs. Texans Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win in NFL Week 15 [2024]

The Houston Texans will square off with the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 15 action at NRG Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Miami-Houston game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 58%, while the Dolphins have 42%."

This updated Dolphins vs. Texans betting preview builds on my early Dolphins vs. Texans prediction that I published at the start of the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Dolphins vs. Texans predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Dolphins vs. Texans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 15 action between the Texans and Dolphins at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Texans and Dolphins gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Dolphins vs. Texans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Miami vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Dolphins vs. Texans Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Dolphins and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Texans a 58% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 23-21.

According to our model, the Dolphins (+3) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Dolphins vs. Texans Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Dolphins	Texans
Spread	+3 (-115)	-3 (-105)
Moneyline	+128	-142
Total	o46.5 (-105)	u46.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dolphins vs. Texans Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Dolphins vs. Texans matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Dolphins vs. Texans TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Texans?

According to our model, Houston's Joe Mixon is most likely to score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Texans.

Our projections give Mixon a 15.9% chance of getting in for six first at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 59.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player	First TD Probability
De'Von Achane	12.6%
Tyreek Hill	7.5%
Jonnu Smith	7.2%

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Joe Mixon	15.9%
Nico Collins	10.3%
Tank Dell	8.0%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime TD Probability
De'Von Achane	52.0%
Tyreek Hill	34.0%
Jonnu Smith	33.0%

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Joe Mixon	59.4%
Nico Collins	43.8%
Tank Dell	34.9%

Dolphins vs Texans Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Dolphins and Texans. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Dolphins-Texans page now to access every player prop projection.

Dolphins vs. Texans Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Texans' C.J. Stroud.

Dolphins Rushing

De'Von Achane, Jaylen Wright and Raheem Mostert are projected to be the leading rushers for the Dolphins.

Player	Position
De'Von Achane	RB
Jaylen Wright	RB
Raheem Mostert	RB

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, C.J. Stroud and Dameon Pierce are expected to lead the Texans in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Joe Mixon	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB
Dameon Pierce	RB

Dolphins Receiving

Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Jonnu Smith, De'Von Achane and Malik Washington are projected to top the receiving yards for the Dolphins.

Player	Position
Tyreek Hill	WR
Jaylen Waddle	WR
Jonnu Smith	TE
De'Von Achane	RB
Malik Washington	WR

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon and Robert Woods are projected to lead the Texans in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Nico Collins	WR
Tank Dell	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Joe Mixon	RB
Robert Woods	WR

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Dolphins vs. Texans predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 15 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet wins, plus score three months of NBA League Pass regardless of the bet result!

Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins in Week 15 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dolphins vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most accurate probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.