Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction: Buffalo Predicted to Win in NFL Week 9 [2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Miami Dolphins-Buffalo Bills Predictions and Game Preview.
Highmark Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills this Sunday.

The Buffalo Bills will square off with the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 9 action at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Bills as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Dolphins-Bills game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bills with a win probability of 70%, while the Dolphins have 30%."

Dolphins vs. Bills Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 9 matchup between the Bills and Dolphins at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Dolphins vs. Bills matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Miami vs. Buffalo picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Dolphins vs. Bills Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Dolphins and Bills 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Bills a 70% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bills winning 27-21.

According to our model, the Bills (-5.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Along with our Dolphins vs. Bills predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for this week's action:

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dolphins Bills
Spread +5.5 (-102) -5.5 (-120)
Moneyline +225 -255
Total o49.5 (-110) u49.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dolphins vs. Bills Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Dolphins vs. Bills matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Dolphins vs. Bills TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Bills?

According to our model, Buffalo's Josh Allen is most likely to score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Bills.

Our projections give Allen a 10.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB is a 48.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player First TD Probability
De'Von Achane 9.6%
Tyreek Hill 9.3%
Raheem Mostert 7.6%

Buffalo Bills

Player First TD Probability
Josh Allen 10.9%
James Cook 10.4%
Amari Cooper 7.1%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player Anytime TD Probability
De'Von Achane 44.6%
Tyreek Hill 42.2%
Raheem Mostert 35.5%

Buffalo Bills

Player Anytime TD Probability
Josh Allen 48.2%
James Cook 46.8%
Amari Cooper 33.8%

Dolphins vs Bills Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Dolphins and Bills. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Dolphins-Bills page now to access every player prop projection.

Dolphins vs. Bills Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bills' Josh Allen.

Dolphins Rushing

De'Von Achane, Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Wright are projected to be the leading rushers for the Dolphins.

Player Position
De'Von Achane RB
Raheem Mostert RB
Jaylen Wright RB

Bills Rushing

James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are expected to lead the Bills in rushing yards.

Player Position
James Cook RB
Josh Allen QB
Ray Davis RB

Dolphins Receiving

Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Jonnu Smith, De'Von Achane and Odell Beckham are projected to top the receiving yards for the Dolphins.

Player Position
Tyreek Hill WR
Jaylen Waddle WR
Jonnu Smith TE
De'Von Achane RB
Odell Beckham WR

Bills Receiving

Amari Cooper, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid and James Cook are projected to lead the Bills in receiving yards.

Player Position
Amari Cooper WR
Khalil Shakir WR
Keon Coleman WR
Dalton Kincaid TE
James Cook RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Bills, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dolphins vs. Bills insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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