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Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction: Buffalo Predicted to Win in NFL Week 9 [2024]
The Buffalo Bills will take on the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 9 action at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bills as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Dolphins-Bills game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bills with a win probability of 72%, while the Dolphins have 28%."
Dolphins vs. Bills Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 9 game between the Bills and Dolphins at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills
- Date: Sunday, November 3, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Bills and Dolphins gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Dolphins vs. Bills matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Miami vs. Buffalo picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.
Dolphins vs. Bills Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Dolphins and Bills 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Bills a 72% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bills winning 27-21.
According to our model, the Bills (-5.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Along with our Dolphins vs. Bills predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:
Dolphins vs. Bills Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dolphins | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-102) | -5.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | +235 | -275 |
| Total | o48.5 (-106) | u48.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dolphins vs. Bills Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Dolphins vs. Bills matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Dolphins vs. Bills TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs. Bills?
According to our model, Buffalo's Josh Allen is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Bills.
Our projections give Allen a 12.3% chance of getting in for six first at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB is a 52.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Miami Dolphins
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 9.9% |
| Tyreek Hill | 9.1% |
| Raheem Mostert | 7.3% |
Buffalo Bills
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 12.3% |
| James Cook | 11.4% |
| Khalil Shakir | 7.6% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 45.1% |
| Tyreek Hill | 41.6% |
| Raheem Mostert | 35.3% |
Buffalo Bills
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 52.0% |
| James Cook | 50.1% |
| Khalil Shakir | 34.9% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 9 touchdown scorer predictions
Dolphins vs Bills Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Dolphins and Bills. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Dolphins-Bills page now to access every player prop projection.
Dolphins vs. Bills Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bills' Josh Allen.
Dolphins Rushing
De'Von Achane, Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Wright are projected to be the leading rushers for the Dolphins.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | RB |
| Raheem Mostert | RB |
| Jaylen Wright | RB |
Bills Rushing
James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are expected to lead the Bills in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| James Cook | RB |
| Josh Allen | QB |
| Ray Davis | RB |
Dolphins Receiving
Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Jonnu Smith, De'Von Achane and Odell Beckham are projected to top the receiving yards for the Dolphins.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | WR |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR |
| Jonnu Smith | TE |
| De'Von Achane | RB |
| Odell Beckham | WR |
Bills Receiving
Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid, James Cook and Ty Johnson are projected to lead the Bills in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | WR |
| Keon Coleman | WR |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE |
| James Cook | RB |
| Ty Johnson | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Bills, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dolphins vs. Bills insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.
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