Mets vs. Phillies Prediction for MLB Thursday [9/21/2023]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction for MLB Thursday [9/21/2023]

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, starting at 7:15PM ET.

The Phillies will start Ranger Suárez (3-6, 3.80 ERA), pitting him against David Peterson (3-8, 5.22 ERA) for the Mets.

Dimers' top betting picks for Mets vs. Phillies, as well as game predictions and best odds, are detailed in this article.

 

Who Will Win: Mets vs. Phillies

Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Mets-Phillies MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Phillies a 60% chance of winning against the Mets.

More: Betting Analysis for Mets vs. Phillies

Mets vs. Phillies Odds [9/21]

  • Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+125), Mets +1.5 (-145)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -160, Mets +140
  • Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-105)

The Phillies are listed as -1.5 favorites against the Mets, with +125 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -145.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Phillies at -160, which means you can risk $160 to win $100, for a total payout of $260, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Mets at +140, where you can bet $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240, if they win.

The Over/Under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +100, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Mets (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 8.5 runs has a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets: Mets vs. Phillies

  • Run Line: Mets +1.5 @ -145 via BetMGM (57% probability)
  • Moneyline: Phillies @ -160 via BetMGM (60% probability)
  • Total: Over 8.5 @ +100 via PointsBet (52% probability)

 

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

Dimers.com predicts that the Phillies are more likely to defeat the Mets at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday.

This prediction is based on extensive data-driven analysis, with the Phillies boasting a 60% chance of winning after conducting 10,000 game simulations.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Thursday's Mets-Phillies game, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Mets vs. Phillies on Thursday September 21, 2023.

 

Mets vs. Phillies 2023

Thursday's MLB action between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 7:15PM ET.

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on MLB? Check out the best sportsbook offers in your state.

Calling Our Shot ⚾️ Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Mets vs. Phillies picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What Other MLB Games Are on Today?

The Mets and Phillies aren't the only two MLB teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for every single MLB game via our MLB predictions. Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Run Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out now!

In addition to our leading MLB predictions, Dimers also offers the best MLB prop bets today, projecting home runs, RBIs, and more against the top odds available every day of the MLB season.

Lastly, Dimers' MLB Futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the World Series, with our data-driven probabilities compared to the best odds available.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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