Mets vs. Phillies Prediction for MLB Saturday [9/23/2023]

MLB action continues on Saturday at 4:05PM ET as the New York Mets square off with the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Zack Wheeler (12-6, 3.63 ERA) will start on the mound for the Phillies, pitting him against José Quintana (3-5, 3.02 ERA) for the Mets.

Dimers' best betting picks for Mets vs. Phillies, as well as game predictions and best odds, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Mets vs. Phillies

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Mets-Phillies MLB game 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Phillies a 63% chance of beating the Mets.

More: Mets vs. Phillies Simulated 10,000 Times

Mets vs. Phillies Odds [9/23]

• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+116), Mets +1.5 (-135)
• Moneyline: Phillies -180, Mets +160
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-120)

The Phillies are -1.5 favorites against the Mets, with +116 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -135.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Phillies at -180, which means you can risk $180 to win $100, for a total payout of $280, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Mets at +160, where you can put down $100 to profit $160, earning a total payout of $260, if they win.

The Over/Under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +100, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -120.

As always, make sure you check all of the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Mets (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run Over/Under has a 57% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets: Mets vs. Phillies

• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 @ +116 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Moneyline: Mets @ +160 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Total: Over 7.5 @ +100 via BetMGM (57% probability) 🔥

Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best free picks of the day across all sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and betting intelligence to help you make smarter investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Even though the Mets are more likely to cover the run line, our best bet of Phillies -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.

And while the Phillies are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Mets moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

Dimers.com predicts that the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mets at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday.

This prediction is based on extensive data-driven analysis, with the Phillies given a 63% probability of winning after conducting 10,000 game simulations.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Saturday's Mets-Phillies game, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live updates.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for the latest betting analysis before Mets vs. Phillies on Saturday September 23, 2023.

Mets vs. Phillies 2023

Saturday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 4:05PM ET.

• Who: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Saturday September 23, 2023
• Time: 4:05PM ET / 1:05PM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks and predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Mets vs. Phillies picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More MLB Predictions Like This?

So, you liked our Mets vs. Phillies betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our MLB Betting News section has a comprehensive betting preview for every MLB game the second the sportsbooks release their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to create the most reliable MLB betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

In addition to our leading MLB predictions, Dimers also offers the best MLB prop bets today, projecting home runs, RBIs, and more against the top odds available every day of the MLB season.

While you're here, Dimers' MLB Futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the World Series, with our data-driven probabilities compared to the best odds on the market.