Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 1 [2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies are scheduled to meet in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 1.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Memphis-Oklahoma City game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Thunder with a win probability of 84%, while the Grizzlies have 16%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Grizzlies will rely on Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson and Desmond Bane.

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Grizzlies vs. Thunder predictions page.

Grizzlies vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Who Will Win Game 1?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA Playoffs game between the Grizzlies and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Thunder an 84% chance of defeating the Grizzlies in Game 1 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 121-109.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 231.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Game 1 Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Grizzlies	Thunder
Spread	+12.5 (-105)	-12.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+650	-900
Total	o231.5 (-110)	u231.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Picks and Best Bets for Game 1

Our model's strongest edge in today's Grizzlies vs. Thunder matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Game 1 Player Props

NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Sunday's Memphis vs. Oklahoma City matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Ja Morant is expected to lead the Grizzlies in scoring, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the top scorer for the Thunder.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Game 1 Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's Game 1 between the Thunder and Grizzlies in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Grizzlies and Thunder, made the NBA Playoffs 2025, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Grizzlies vs. Thunder matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Memphis vs. Oklahoma City picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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