Matteo Arnaldi vs. Novak Djokovic Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Matteo Arnaldi will face Novak Djokovic in the round of 64 at the ATP Madrid event on Saturday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Novak Djokovic as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Arnaldi-Djokovic match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that Novak Djokovic is more likely to win, while Matteo Arnaldi has a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Arnaldi vs. Djokovic predictions page.

Arnaldi vs. Djokovic Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 32?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Arnaldi-Djokovic men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Djokovic a 74% chance of winning against Arnaldi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Djokovic has a 70% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Matteo Arnaldi vs. Novak Djokovic Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Arnaldi	Djokovic
Moneyline	+250	-333
First Set	+200	-250

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Arnaldi vs. Djokovic Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Arnaldi vs. Djokovic match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Arnaldi vs. Djokovic Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 9:30AM ET.

• Who: Matteo Arnaldi vs. Novak Djokovic
• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Approx. Time: 9:30AM ET/6:30AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Arnaldi vs. Djokovic match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Matteo Arnaldi vs. Novak Djokovic picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Novak Djokovic, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Arnaldi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arnaldi vs. Djokovic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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