Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction and Odds - Apr 11, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction and Odds - Apr 11, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, commencing at 6:40PM ET.

The Phillies will have Aaron Nola (0-1, 7.45 ERA) start, while the Marlins are going with Jesús Luzardo (1-0, 0.71 ERA).

Dimers' free betting picks for Marlins vs. Phillies, as well as game predictions and betting odds, are featured below.

 

Who will win Marlins vs. Phillies?

Based on cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Tuesday's Marlins-Phillies MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Phillies a 54% chance of getting the W against the Marlins.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Marlins vs. Phillies

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds

  • Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+146), Marlins +1.5 (-165)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -140, Marlins +120
  • Total: Over/Under 8 (-105/-110)

Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Phillies are -1.5 favorites versus the Marlins, with +146 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -165.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Phillies at -140, which means you can risk $140 to win $100, for a total payout of $240, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Marlins at +120, where you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 8 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all of the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Marlins (+1.5) are a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 8 runs is a 54% chance of going Under.

More: Best Bets for Every MLB Matchup

Best Bets for Marlins vs. Phillies

  • Run Line: Marlins +1.5 @ -165 via BetMGM (65% probability)
  • Moneyline: Marlins @ +120 via BetMGM (0.9% edge)
  • Total: Under 8 @ -110 via PointsBet (54% probability)

 

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Phillies are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Marlins moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Tuesday's Marlins-Phillies matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Marlins vs. Phillies on Tuesday April 11, 2023.

 

Marlins vs. Phillies 2023 Game Info

Tuesday's action between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:40PM ET.

  • Who: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Tuesday April 11, 2023
  • Time: 6:40PM ET / 3:40PM PT
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

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Calling Our Shot ⚾️ Free Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Want more MLB analysis like this?

So, you liked our Marlins vs. Phillies betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our MLB Betting News section has a comprehensive betting preview for every MLB matchup as soon as the sportsbooks release their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to produce the most accurate MLB betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

As well as MLB game picks and predicitons, we also provide the best MLB prop bets for today, with our projections for home runs, RBIs, and more lined up against the best available sportsbook odds every single day of the MLB season.

While you're here, Dimers' Baseball Futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the World Series, with our data-led probabilities paired with the best odds available.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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