Marlins vs. Padres Prediction for MLB Wednesday [8/23/2023]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Marlins vs. Padres Prediction for MLB Wednesday [8/23/2023]

The San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins will meet in MLB action at PETCO Park on Wednesday, starting at 4:10PM ET.

Seth Lugo (4-6, 3.92 ERA) will start on the mound for the Padres, while the Marlins have opted for Sandy Alcantara (6-10, 4.11 ERA).

Dimers' top betting picks for Marlins vs. Padres, as well as game predictions and betting odds, are featured in this article.

 

Who Will Win: Marlins vs. Padres

Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Wednesday's Marlins-Padres MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Padres a 54% chance of getting the W against the Marlins.

More: Marlins vs. Padres Simulated 10K Times

Marlins vs. Padres Odds [8/23]

  • Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+165), Marlins +1.5 (-190)
  • Moneyline: Padres -130, Marlins +112
  • Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-115/+100)

The Padres are currently -1.5 favorites versus the Marlins, with +165 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -190.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Padres at -130. That means you can risk $130 to win $100, for a total payout of $230, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Marlins at +112, where you can put down $100 to profit $112, earning a total payout of $212, if they win.

The Over/Under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets: Marlins vs. Padres

  • Run Line: Marlins +1.5 @ -190 via BetMGM (65% probability)
  • Moneyline: Marlins @ +112 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Total: Over 7.5 @ -115 via BetMGM (52% probability)

 

Our best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Padres are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Marlins moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Marlins vs. Padres Prediction

Dimers.com predicts that the Padres are more likely to defeat the Marlins at PETCO Park on Wednesday.

This prediction is backed by extensive data-driven analysis, with the Padres boasting a 54% probability of winning after conducting 10,000 game simulations.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Wednesday's Marlins-Padres game, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Marlins vs. Padres on Wednesday August 23, 2023.

 

Marlins vs. Padres 2023

Wednesday's MLB game between the Padres and Marlins at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 4:10PM ET.

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on MLB? We've listed the best available welcome offers for every legal betting state.

Calling Our Shot ⚾️ Best Bets

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Marlins vs. Padres predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More MLB Analysis Like This?

To get more MLB betting previews like you've just read for Marlins vs. Padres, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' MLB Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can publish the best MLB betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our MLB picks and predictions.

In addition to our leading MLB predictions, we also feature the best MLB prop bets today, projecting home runs, RBIs, and more against the top odds available every single day of the MLB season.

While you're here, Dimers' Baseball Futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the World Series, with our data-driven probabilities compared to the best odds on the market.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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