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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction and Odds - November 17, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction and Odds - November 17, 2023

The Detroit Red Wings will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Avicii Arena on Friday, commencing at 2:00PM ET.

Dimers' full betting preview for Friday's Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and best bets.

To make the most of today's Toronto vs. Detroit betting preview, check out the best sportsbook promos currently available in your state.

Who Will Win: Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings

Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Friday's Maple Leafs-Red Wings NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of winning against the Red Wings.

More: Get the latest NHL picks

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Red Wings
Puck Line -1.5 (+136) +1.5 (-146)
Moneyline -175 +155
Total o6.5 (-120) u6.5 (+105)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

The Red Wings are +1.5 underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with -146 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +136.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Red Wings at +155. That means you can bet $100 to profit $155, earning a total payout of $255, if they win.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -175, where you can risk $175 to win $100, for a total payout of $275, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -120, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at +105.

According to DimersBOT, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of going Under.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Best Bets: Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best bets for this game:

 

Our best NHL bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Red Wings moneyline is the best option because of the 1.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Friday's Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Red Wings this Friday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Friday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 10.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Avicii Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 10.0%
William Nylander 7.0%
John Tavares 5.9%
Mitchell Marner 4.8%
Tyler Bertuzzi 4.6%

Detroit Red Wings

Player First Goal Probability
Dylan Larkin 6.0%
Alex DeBrincat 5.9%
Lucas Raymond 4.7%
Daniel Sprong 3.7%
David Perron 3.5%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 47.4%
William Nylander 35.6%
John Tavares 29.8%
Mitchell Marner 28.3%
Tyler Bertuzzi 25.2%

Detroit Red Wings

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat 31.5%
Dylan Larkin 29.9%
Lucas Raymond 24.8%
Daniel Sprong 21.5%
David Perron 20.8%
Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings on Friday November 17, 2023.

 

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Preview

Friday's matchup between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs at Avicii Arena is scheduled to start at 2:00PM ET.

How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL now? We've listed the best available welcome offers in each and every legal betting state.

Conclusion

This comprehensive betting preview includes our Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings prediction and NHL odds.

Our predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay informed on the fresh NHL betting news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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