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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction and Odds - November 25, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction and Odds - November 25, 2023

NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00PM ET as the Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena.

Dimers' in-depth betting preview for Saturday's Maple Leafs vs. Penguins game includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and best bets.

To make the most of today's Toronto vs. Pittsburgh betting analysis, check out the best sportsbook promos currently available in your state.

Who Will Win: Maple Leafs vs. Penguins

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Maple Leafs-Penguins NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of winning against the Penguins.

More: Get the latest NHL predictions

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Penguins
Puck Line -1.5 (+195) +1.5 (-230)
Moneyline -120 +104
Total o6.5 (-118) u6.5 (+102)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

The Penguins are currently +1.5 underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with -230 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at +195.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at +104, which means you can bet $100 to profit $104, earning a total payout of $204, if they win.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -120, where you can risk $120 to win $100, for a total payout of $220, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -118, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +102.

According to DimersBOT, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of going Under.

As always, check out all the online sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Best Bets: Maple Leafs vs. Penguins

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best bets for this game:

 

Our NHL best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays every time.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Penguins moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Maple Leafs vs. Penguins.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Saturday's Maple Leafs vs. Penguins, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Penguins this Saturday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 9.6% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 45.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 9.6%
William Nylander 7.8%
John Tavares 5.2%
Mitchell Marner 4.8%
Tyler Bertuzzi 4.1%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby 8.1%
Jake Guentzel 6.9%
Evgeni Malkin 6.1%
Reilly Smith 5.2%
Erik Karlsson 3.4%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 45.2%
William Nylander 34.1%
John Tavares 26.9%
Mitchell Marner 26.7%
Tyler Bertuzzi 24.3%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby 36.9%
Jake Guentzel 34.7%
Evgeni Malkin 31.8%
Reilly Smith 30.0%
Erik Karlsson 20.2%
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting insights before Maple Leafs vs. Penguins on Saturday November 25, 2023.

 

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Preview

Saturday's game between the Penguins and Maple Leafs at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Penguins

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL today? Check out the top sportsbook offers in your state.

Conclusion

This detailed betting preview centers around our Maple Leafs vs. Penguins prediction and NHL odds.

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Maple Leafs vs. Penguins picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date on the current NHL betting news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest numbers and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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