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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction and Odds - Nov 15, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction and Odds - Nov 15, 2022

The Pittsburgh Penguins square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Penguins, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.

 

Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Penguins?

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Tuesday's Maple Leafs-Penguins NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 51% chance of winning against the Penguins.

More: Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Simulated 10,000 Times

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game Odds

  • Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 (-245), Maple Leafs -1.5 (+205)
  • Moneyline: Penguins -104, Maple Leafs -115
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-120/+105)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Penguins are +1.5 underdogs versus the Maple Leafs, with -245 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at +205.

In a sign of how close this game is expected to be, both the Penguins and Maple Leafs are currently at minus-money betting odds on the moneyline.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at -104. That means you can risk $104 to win $100, for a total payout of $204, if they get the W.

On the other hand, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -115, where you can risk $115 to win $100, for a total payout of $215, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 6.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -120, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at +105.

As always, check out all of the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Penguins (+1.5) are a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is a 51% chance of going Over.

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Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Penguins

 

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering expertise to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Penguins moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 6.5 is our best bet on account of the better odds (+105) that are available from BetMGM.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Tuesday's Maple Leafs-Penguins matchup, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Penguins.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Tuesday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 10.8% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 51.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 10.8% probability
  • William Nylander: 5.9% probability
  • John Tavares: 5.3% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 5.2% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 3.7% probability

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Jake Guentzel: 7.3% probability
  • Sidney Crosby: 7.0% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 5.3% probability
  • Bryan Rust: 4.7% probability
  • Rickard Rakell: 3.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 51.4% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 31.6% probability
  • William Nylander: 31.1% probability
  • John Tavares: 29.9% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 21.1% probability

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Jake Guentzel: 37.7% probability
  • Sidney Crosby: 34.6% probability
  • Bryan Rust: 29.4% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 29.2% probability
  • Rickard Rakell: 23.6% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Maple Leafs vs. Penguins on Tuesday November 15, 2022.

 

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins 2022 Game Info

Tuesday's matchup between the Penguins and Maple Leafs at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

  • Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Date: Tuesday November 15, 2022
  • Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL now? We've listed the best available sign-up offers for every legal betting state.

What other NHL games are on tonight?

Now you've got the 411 on Maple Leafs vs. Penguins, see the latest betting predictions for all upcoming NHL games in our NHL Bet Hub, where you can find probabilities and odds, plus our best bets for every single NHL matchup.

Want a pick for the Puck Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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