Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Apr 11, 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Tuesday's Maple Leafs-Lightning NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lightning a 60% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.

More: Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Simulated 10,000 Times

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Current Odds

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+120), Maple Leafs +1.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Lightning -215, Maple Leafs +195
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-110)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are listed as -1.5 favorites against the Maple Leafs, with +120 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the puck line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -215, which means you can risk $215 to win $100, for a total payout of $315, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at +195, where you can bet $100 to profit $195, earning a total payout of $295, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -102, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) are a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (62% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Maple Leafs @ +195 via DraftKings Sportsbook (6.4% edge) 🔥
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (53% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Dimers' best free picks of the day across all sports.

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Maple Leafs moneyline is the best option due to the 6.4% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of Tuesday's Maple Leafs-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Tuesday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's William Nylander is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Nylander an 8.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 40.0% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

• William Nylander: 8.0% probability
• John Tavares: 6.8% probability
• Michael Bunting: 6.1% probability
• Ryan O'Reilly: 5.0% probability
• Calle Jarnkrok: 4.1% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 7.3% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 7.1% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 7.0% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.8% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 4.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

• William Nylander: 40.0% probability
• John Tavares: 38.1% probability
• Michael Bunting: 32.6% probability
• Ryan O'Reilly: 28.8% probability
• Calle Jarnkrok: 24.5% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 38.5% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 38.0% probability
• Brayden Point: 37.5% probability
• Alex Killorn: 26.6% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 21.5% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Maple Leafs vs. Lightning on Tuesday April 11, 2023.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Tuesday's action between the Lightning and Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Tuesday April 11, 2023
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to write the most accurate NHL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

As well as NHL game picks and predicitons, Dimers also provides the best NHL prop bets for today, with our projections for first and anytime goal scorers and more lined up against the sportsbook odds every single day of the NHL season.