Manchester United vs. Manchester City Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [4/6/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Manchester United vs Manchester City matchup.

Manchester United-Manchester City Predictions and Game Preview.
Old Trafford sets the stage for the Premier League matchup between Manchester United and Manchester City this Sunday.

Manchester United will face Manchester City in Premier League action at Old Trafford on Sunday, beginning at 11:30AM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Manchester United-Manchester City game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Manchester United a 33.1% chance of winning, Manchester City a 43.0% chance, and a 23.8% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Manchester United vs. Manchester City predictions page.

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Manchester United vs. Manchester City Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Manchester United and Manchester City 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 33.1% chance of Manchester United winning, a 43.0% chance for Manchester City, and a 23.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.

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Manchester United vs. Manchester City Odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Manchester United Manchester City Draw
+230 +110 +260

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-165 +124

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Manchester United vs. Manchester City Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Manchester United vs. Manchester City matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Manchester United vs. Manchester City: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
MUN 1-1 MCI 10.9%
MUN 1-2 MCI 9%
MUN 0-1 MCI 7.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 61.3% chance that both Manchester United and Manchester City score, and a 38.7% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Manchester United vs. Manchester City Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's Premier League matchup between Manchester United and Manchester City at Old Trafford is scheduled to commence in the USA at 11:30AM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Manchester United vs. Manchester City matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Manchester City vs. Manchester United picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Manchester United has a 33.1% win probability on Sunday, Manchester City has a 43.0% win probability, and there is a 23.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manchester United vs. Manchester City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Premier League

Stay up-to-date with the latest Premier League betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds provide the latest predictions for the Premier League title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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