Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [4/22/2025]

profile-img
Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Manchester City vs Aston Villa matchup.

Manchester City-Aston Villa Predictions and Game Preview.
Etihad Stadium sets the stage for the Premier League matchup between Manchester City and Aston Villa this Tuesday.

Manchester City will take on Aston Villa in Premier League action at Etihad Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Manchester City-Aston Villa game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Manchester City a 51.9% chance of winning, Aston Villa a 25.2% chance, and a 22.9% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Manchester City vs. Aston Villa predictions page.

Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER
Get Dimers Pro

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Premier League match between Manchester City and Aston Villa 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 51.9% chance of Manchester City winning, a 25.2% chance for Aston Villa, and a 22.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 6:15PM, Apr 22
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Win %
Aston Villa VIL
25.2%
FanDuel
Draw
22.9%
BetRivers
Manchester City MNC
51.9%
BetRivers
FanDuel
BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
bet365
BetRivers
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Manchester City Aston Villa Draw
-110 +280 +290

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-182 +135

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Manchester City vs. Aston Villa matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every Manchester City-Aston Villa Pick
Get Dimers Pro

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
MCI 1-1 AVL 10.6%
MCI 2-1 AVL 9.7%
MCI 1-0 AVL 8.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 40.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's Premier League action between Manchester City and Aston Villa at Etihad Stadium is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Manchester City vs. Aston Villa matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aston Villa vs. Manchester City picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Manchester City has a 51.9% win probability on Tuesday, Aston Villa has a 25.2% win probability, and there is a 22.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manchester City vs. Aston Villa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Premier League

Stay informed with the latest Premier League news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the Premier League title.

profile-img
Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

Advertiser disclosure

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...
...
Read Article
...
Read Article
...
Read Article

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
logo Swipe across to view more offers
logo
Exclusive
$1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if you Don't Win!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
MOST POPULAR
Sign up With Code DIMERS to Unlock $150 in Bonus Bets When you Bet $5! Win or Lose!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
HOTTEST
Bet $10 Get $100 in Bonus Bets
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
MOST POPULAR
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
New Customers Play FREE For Your Share Of Millions
T&C's apply.
How to claim
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 10,000,000+
Users
As seen on
USA Today iconFox Sports iconBleacher Report iconForbes iconSports Illustrated iconYahoo iconESPN iconMLS icon

Loved by our customers

imgimgimg
4.8
Google Reviews
More from Dimers