Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [4/22/2025]

Manchester City will take on Aston Villa in Premier League action at Etihad Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Manchester City-Aston Villa game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Manchester City a 51.9% chance of winning, Aston Villa a 25.2% chance, and a 22.9% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Manchester City vs. Aston Villa predictions page.

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Premier League match between Manchester City and Aston Villa 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 51.9% chance of Manchester City winning, a 25.2% chance for Aston Villa, and a 22.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Manchester City	Aston Villa	Draw
-110	+280	+290

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-182	+135

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Manchester City vs. Aston Villa matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
MCI 1-1 AVL	10.6%
MCI 2-1 AVL	9.7%
MCI 1-0 AVL	8.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 40.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's Premier League action between Manchester City and Aston Villa at Etihad Stadium is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00PM ET.

• Who: Manchester City vs. Aston Villa
• Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2025
• Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Etihad Stadium

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Manchester City vs. Aston Villa matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aston Villa vs. Manchester City picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Manchester City has a 51.9% win probability on Tuesday, Aston Villa has a 25.2% win probability, and there is a 22.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manchester City vs. Aston Villa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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