Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek Prediction, Odds, Picks for 2025 Australian Open Women Singles

Madison Keys will face Iga Swiatek in the semifinals of the 2025 Australian Open Women's Singles on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Iga Swiatek as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Keys-Swiatek match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Iga Swiatek with a win probability of 84% and Madison Keys with 16%."

For a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and an expanded look at the predicted final score, visit our interactive Keys vs. Swiatek predictions page.

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Keys vs. Swiatek Updates and Essential Details

The 2025 Australian Open Women Singles match between Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek is scheduled to start on Thursday at 4:40AM ET.

• Who: Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek
• Date: Thursday, January 23, 2025
• Approx. Time: 4:40AM ET/1:40AM PT
• Tournament: 2025 Australian Open Women's Singles
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Keys vs. Swiatek match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Keys vs. Swiatek Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Keys-Swiatek women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Swiatek an 84% chance of winning against Keys in the 2025 Australian Open Women Singles.

Additionally, Swiatek has a 77% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Keys	Swiatek
Moneyline	+400	-625
First Set	+275	-357

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Keys vs. Swiatek Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Keys vs. Swiatek match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict Iga Swiatek, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Madison Keys at the 2025 Australian Open Women Singles.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Keys vs. Swiatek insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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