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Luka Doncic Most Likely to Score First Basket in Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 3 [2024]

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Written by Damien Souness
Luka Doncic Most Likely to Score First Basket in Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 3 [2024]

It's time for a exciting day of NBA Finals basketball, and we've run thousands of Game 3 simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Wednesday, June 12, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA Finals Game 3 is set to feature star players such as Luka Doncic, Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum, each with a high chance of opening the scoring in tonight's matchup.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for NBA fans, and by using Wednesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

For today's full list of NBA Finals prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!



Who Will Score the First NBA Basket Tonight: June 12, 2024

With Game 3 of the NBA Finals between Boston and Dallas set to go down tonight, here are the probabilities for each of the 10 projected starters to score the first basket:

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)14.1%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)13.7%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)12.6%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)11.3%
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)11.1%
Jrue Holiday (Celtics)9.0%
Derrick White (Celtics)7.7%
Al Horford (Celtics)7.0%
P.J. Washington (Mavericks)6.4%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 14.1%.

Following him, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jaylen Brown at 13.7% and Jayson Tatum at 12.6%. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, which does not necessarily indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.


Jaylen Brown scoring a dunk.
Jaylen Brown is one of the most likely NBA players to score the first basket in Game 3 of the 2024 Finals.


Best NBA First Basket Picks Tonight: NBA Finals Game 3

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, unfortunately, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has not found any NBA first basket picks for games happening on Wednesday. This is because we have not found any valuable enough edges when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the best odds that are currently available.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: June 12, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for June 12, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, June 12, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

With over 15 years of experience, Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, enhances Dimers.com with his expertise in soccer and NBA betting. His prior roles with Formula 1, MotoGP, Racing.com, and Goal.com highlight his dedication to delivering accurate, timely content, making him a trusted authority in sports and betting.

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